Serial Europa League winner Unai Emery will be aiming to make progress in the Champions League as Villarreal welcome Juventus to the Estadio de la Ceramica for the first leg of their last-16 battle.
The Yellow Submarine finished second in Group F behind Manchester United to make it this far, while Juve topped Group H ahead of reigning champions Chelsea.
Match preview
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Emery's glittering success in the second tier of Europe's continental competition is unparalleled, but the former Arsenal and Paris Saint-Germain boss will be more aware than anyone that his side are major underdogs to lift the Champions League trophy aloft.
Villarreal largely managed to hold their own in the group stages - despite suffering a pair of defeats to Manchester United - as a thrilling 3-2 win away to Atalanta BC on the final matchday confirmed their place in the knockout rounds for the first time since 2009.
Arnaut Danjuma was the hero of the hour for the Yellow Submarine on that day with a brace, and the Dutch attacker once again stole the show in the weekend's La Liga battle with Granada, taking home the match ball with three of his side's strikes in a romping 4-1 success.
A four-game domestic unbeaten run - during which time they have taken 10 points from a possible 12 and conceded just one goal - is just what the doctor ordered for Emery's side ahead of this battle, with the Villarreal coach leading the Yellow Submarine through to only their third-ever Champions League knockout run.
Arsenal eliminated Villarreal on both previous occasions in 2005-06 and 2008-09 - so a hint of nostalgia may come into play for Emery despite his ill-fated North London stint - but his side are facing a true test of their mettle this week, in spite of their six-game unbeaten run on home soil.
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Forcing the reigning champions to settle for second place in the group stages is surely a good omen for this topsy-turvy Juventus outfit, who are long overdue success on the European stage as they also endeavour to re-assert their dominance domestically.
The less said about the 4-0 thumping at Stamford Bridge the better, but Massimiliano Allegri otherwise oversaw five wins from his side's other five Group H matches to advance with 15 points - only the three perfect sides in Ajax, Liverpool and Bayern Munich progressed with a better record.
However, Juve have started to falter in Serie A once again and did not warm up for this contest in ideal fashion - forced to settle for a 1-1 draw with Torino in the Derby della Mole as Matthijs de Ligt's early effort was cancelled out by the visitors' talisman Andrea Belotti.
The 1995-96 Champions League winners are making their eighth consecutive appearance in the knockout rounds, but the last-16 curse has bedevilled them for the past two years - going out at this stage to Lyon in 2020 before that disheartening exit to Porto last year.
A seven-game unbeaten run in all competitions is nothing to be sniffed at, though, and Juve will lock horns with Villarreal for the first time ever competitively this week, with the Yellow Submarine thrashing the Old Lady 4-1 in a friendly back in 2009.
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Team News
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Villarreal will have attacker Yeremi Pino at their disposal after the 19-year-old's suspension against Atalanta, but the ongoing absence of goal-getter Gerard Moreno is a bitter blow.
Francis Coquelin and Ruben Pena also remain out of contention - with Etienne Capoue also a slight doubt - and Giovani Lo Celso will need to be checked after being pictured with ice on his leg following his substitution against Granada.
Veteran defender Raul Albiol returns from a ban to displace Aissa Mandi in the heart of defence, while the likes of Samuel Chukwueze and Juan Foyth should also return to the first XI here.
Meanwhile, Juventus will have right-back Danilo back from a domestic ban, which may be timely as Juan Cuadrado is one yellow card away from a European suspension.
Already without Federico Bernardeschi, Federico Chiesa and Giorgio Chiellini, Allegri witnessed the painful sight of Daniele Rugani pulling out of the 1-1 draw with Torino due to a warm-up injury, while Paulo Dybala was also a casualty of the contest and will miss out.
Leonardo Bonucci and Luca Pellegrini are set to be available, although the former may not be ready to start, while Adrien Rabiot will also travel despite a minor scare over a training ground injury.
With Morata and Champions League debutant Dusan Vlahovic representing the visitors' two senior attacking options, Arthur and Weston McKennie could battle it out to come into a midfield-heavy formation.
Villarreal possible starting lineup:
Asenjo; Foyth, Albiol, Torres, Pedraza; Trigueros, Capoue, Parejo; Chukwueze, Dia, Danjuma
Juventus possible starting lineup:
Szczesny; Cuadrado, Danilo, De Ligt, Sandro; Locatelli, Zakaria, Rabiot; Arthur; Morata, Vlahovic
We say: Villarreal 2-1 Juventus
With Juve's ongoing absentee woes in the final and defensive third, a Danjuma-inspired Villarreal ought to sense a major opportunity to gain the upper hand in the tie amid their hot streak of form.
A wounded Bianconeri are not to be underestimated by any stretch, but their struggles without a full-strength squad were evident in the Torino derby draw, and we can see Emery's Villarreal taking a slender first-leg advantage to Turin.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
