Champions League | Last 16 | 1st Leg
Feb 22, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio El Madrigal
Villarreal1 - 1Juventus
We said: Villarreal 2-1 Juventus
With Juve's ongoing absentee woes in the final and defensive third, a Danjuma-inspired Villarreal ought to sense a major opportunity to gain the upper hand in the tie amid their hot streak of form. A wounded Bianconeri are not to be underestimated by any stretch, but their struggles without a full-strength squad were evident in the Torino derby draw, and we can see Emery's Villarreal taking a slender first-leg advantage to Turin. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Juventus |
| 35.02% | 27.52% | 37.46% |
| Both teams to score 49.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
