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[monks data]
Wales national football team
European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 12, 2021 at 2pm UK
Bakı Olimpiya Stadionu
Switzerland national football team

Wales
1 - 1
Switzerland

Moore (74')
Moore (47')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Embolo (49')
Schar (30'), Mbabu (63')

Preview: Wales vs. Switzerland - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's European Championship clash between Wales and Switzerland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Five years on from their magical run to the European Championship semi-finals, Wales begin their Euro 2020 adventure with a showdown against Switzerland in Baku on Saturday.

Both sides have ambitions of reaching at least the first knockout round in the pan-European competition, but Group A is arguably the most competitive of the lot.


Match preview

Gareth Bale in action for Wales in November 2020© Reuters

Just eight members of Wales's squad from the last European Championship finals remain, and even those - Gareth Bale, Aaron Ramsey, Joe Allen & Co - are no longer at the same level.

However, as showed during their qualifying campaign, when putting together a five-game unbeaten run to finish runners-up to Croatia, Wales remain a relative force.

The Dragons are effectively battling with Switzerland and Turkey for second place behind in-form Italy in Group A, and they can take confidence from recent results.

Wales have defeated a lot of similarly-ranked nations over the past year or so, including in the Nations League when finishing top to earn promotion to the top tier.

Losing their manager, Ryan Giggs, due to an impending court case is far from ideal, of course, but Rob Page has ensured a seamless transition in his seven months in interim charge.

There were positives to take from the 3-0 loss to France last week, as strange as that may sound on the face of it, though the less said about the 0-0 draw with Albania the better.

Switzerland's team celebrates scoring their third goal on June 3, 2021© Reuters

Wales do not qualify for major tournaments all that often, but when they do they tend to leave their mark, reaching the quarter-finals in the 1958 World Cup and semis at Euro 2016.

That has not really been the case for Switzerland at this tournament, having been eliminated at the group stage three times before a last-16 exit to Poland five years ago.

La Nati will be confident of sealing a best-ever finish this time around, particularly if their recent form is anything to go by.

They have won six games in a row and held Spain to a 1-1 draw ahead of that run, which stretches back to last November.

Indeed, only 12 nations in the entire world are currently ranked higher than the Swiss, so falling short at the group stage again would be a major disappointment.

With a number of talented players in their ranks, this may just be the year that Switzerland get it right at a major tournament.

Wales form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D

Switzerland form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Wales' Aaron Ramsey during the warm up on June 5, 2021© Reuters

Page still has a couple of big tactical decisions to make, not least whether to go with a three-man defence or four.

It is more likely to be the former, which would see Neco Williams and Connor Roberts operate as wing-backs.

Ramsey's lack of football for Wales over the past couple of years means that he is far from nailed on to start, and it may well be that he is used as a substitute here.

There have been loud calls for Kieffer Moore to start against Switzerland, though Page is more likely to operate without a recognised striker for now.

As for Switzerland, Vladimir Petkovic's starting lineup also has a couple of question marks ahead of this huge opening match.

Mario Gavranovic scored a hat-trick in the 7-0 win over Liechtenstein in La Nati's final warm-up and is expected to start alongside Haris Seferovic.

Granit Xhaka and Xherdan Shaqiri seem nailed on to start in midfield, with one of Denis Zakaria and Remo Freuler starting in the other central position.

Wales possible starting lineup:
Ward; Mepham, Rodon, Davies; Roberts, Allen, Ampadu, Williams; Bale, Wilson, James

Switzerland possible starting lineup:
Sommer; Elvedi, Akanji, Schar; Mbabu, Xhaka, Freuler, Rodriguez; Shaqiri; Gavranovic, Seferovic


SM words green background

We say: Wales 1-1 Switzerland

Wales are a tough side to beat in competitive fixtures and they also have a good record of keeping clean sheets, keeping out the opposition in three of their last four games.

Switzerland, likewise, have the ability to beat any team and head into this contest on a six-match winning streak.

Group A could well be dominated by draws, with Turkey in a similar boat to Wales and Switzerland, and we can see this fixture in Baku finishing all square.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 45%. A win for Wales had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Wales win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Wales vs Switzerland

Wales
24.3%
Draw
27.8%
Switzerland
47.9%
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Wales' Daniel James celebrates scoring their first goal against the Czech Republic in World Cup Qualifying on March 30, 2021
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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