Aberystwyth

0 - 3

Haverfordwest

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.