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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8
Sep 20, 2024 at 8pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
0 - 3
Haverfordwest


Ealing (15'), Arnison (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Watts (52'), Ahmun (58'), Bradford (70' og.)
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Haverfordwest County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bala Town 3-0 Aberystwyth
Friday, September 13 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Flint Town 1-0 Haverfordwest
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawHaverfordwest County
28.24% (-0.061 -0.06) 26.05% (-0.118 -0.12) 45.71% (0.18 0.18)
Both teams to score 51.25% (0.322 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.27% (0.434 0.43)52.73% (-0.433 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.64% (0.371 0.37)74.36% (-0.36799999999999 -0.37)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.58% (0.18299999999999 0.18)33.42% (-0.182 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.95% (0.199 0.2)70.05% (-0.19699999999999 -0.2)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.98% (0.274 0.27)23.02% (-0.271 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.17% (0.398 0.4)56.83% (-0.396 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 28.24%
    Haverfordwest County 45.7%
    Draw 26.05%
Aberystwyth TownDrawHaverfordwest County
1-0 @ 8.43% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-1 @ 6.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 4.62% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.48% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.82% (0.025 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.69% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 28.24%
1-1 @ 12.38% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.69% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.05%
0-1 @ 11.29% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 9.1% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 8.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.45% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 4.06% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.041 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.64% (0.032 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.49% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 45.7%

Head to Head
Mar 15, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Haverfordwest
2-0
Aberystwyth
Hawkins (45+1'), Taylor-Crossdale (58')
Fawcett (90')

Cadwallader (80'), Canavan (90+4'), Woollam (90+1')
Bassey (28')
Feb 2, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 1
Aberystwyth
1-0
Haverfordwest
Lewis (40')
Kirkman (42'), Walsh (83')

Whitmore (19'), Jenkins (90')
Dec 30, 2023 2.30pm
Sep 30, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Haverfordwest
3-0
Aberystwyth
Abbruzzese (53'), Whitmore (70', 74')
Wilson (58'), Abbruzzese (81')

Darlington (44')
Darlington (58')
Apr 15, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 9
Haverfordwest
1-1
Aberystwyth
Leahy (54')
Litchfield (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont17114234122237
2The New SaintsNew Saints16120445192636
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest178632081230
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU178452620628
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town1741032218422
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1742112035-1514
11Briton Ferry1632111932-1311
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1731131442-2810


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