MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 17:20:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Park Hall Stadium

New Saints
2 - 0
Aberystwyth

Williams (59'), Canavan (90+1')
Hudson (65'), Woollam (76'), Canavan (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

The New Saints

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 0-0 Panevezys
Thursday, August 29 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 5-1 Aberystwyth
Monday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 88.16%. A draw had a probability of 8.3% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 3.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 4-0 (10.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.89%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (1.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New SaintsDrawAberystwyth Town
88.16% (1.049 1.05) 8.27% (-0.642 -0.64) 3.56% (-0.4121 -0.41)
Both teams to score 43.37% (-0.704 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.24% (1.16 1.16)24.75% (-1.165 -1.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.4% (1.511 1.51)44.59% (-1.515 -1.52)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.45% (0.339 0.34)3.54% (-0.3429 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
84.61% (1.122 1.12)15.38% (-1.126 -1.13)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.96% (-0.894 -0.89)55.03% (0.889 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.1% (-0.541 -0.54)87.9% (0.535 0.53)
Score Analysis
    The New Saints 88.16%
    Aberystwyth Town 3.56%
    Draw 8.27%
The New SaintsDrawAberystwyth Town
3-0 @ 12.11% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 10.88% (-0.21 -0.21)
4-0 @ 10.11% (0.357 0.36)
3-1 @ 7.23% (-0.138 -0.14)
5-0 @ 6.75% (0.419 0.42)
1-0 @ 6.52% (-0.318 -0.32)
2-1 @ 6.5% (-0.311 -0.31)
4-1 @ 6.04% (0.055 0.05)
5-1 @ 4.03% (0.146 0.15)
6-0 @ 3.76% (0.329 0.33)
6-1 @ 2.25% (0.141 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.8% (-0.033 -0.03)
7-0 @ 1.79% (0.202 0.2)
5-2 @ 1.2% (0.012 0.01)
7-1 @ 1.07% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 88.16%
1-1 @ 3.89% (-0.302 -0.3)
0-0 @ 1.95% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-2 @ 1.94% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 8.27%
0-1 @ 1.17% (-0.126 -0.13)
1-2 @ 1.16% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 3.56%

Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Aberystwyth
1-3
New Saints
Cadwallader (3')
Hogan (30'), Bradford (45+2'), Owen (45+2'), H (56'), Taylor (85')
Davies (45+7'), Young (57' pen.), Darlington (76' og.)
Young (70')
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
New Saints
6-0
Aberystwyth
Canavan (11', 75'), Clark (43'), Cieslewicz (66' pen.), Holden (89'), Astles (90+4')

Cornish (21')
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
New Saints
11-0
Aberystwyth
Davies (13', 37'), Dafydd (89', 65'), Williams (89'), Wilson (40'), Smith (45+1'), Cieslewicz (55', 60'), Brobbel (66'), Clark (80')
Aug 30, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 4
Aberystwyth
0-2
New Saints

Flint (33'), Horwood (76')
Clark (49'), McManus (79')
Nov 9, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 13
Aberystwyth
1-0
New Saints
Owen (85')
Jones (36'), Evans (58')

Clark (62'), (85'), Marriott (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints27220576284866
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont27166548272154
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest27139535191648
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU27125104137441
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon27125104444041
6Bala TownBala Town2771193434032
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry2711794246-440
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay271051239291035
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2793153754-1730
4Briton Ferry2774164257-1525
5Newtown AFCNewtown2767143052-2225
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2752202263-4117
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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