MX23RW : Friday, January 24 23:07:48| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 20
Dec 26, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval
Bala Town logo

Caernarfon
1 - 5
Bala Town

Thomas (5')
Williams (30')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Kay (10'), Nalatche Mendes (34'), Wall (51'), Shannon (65'), Davies (90+2')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Bala Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Flint Town 2-1 Caernarfon
Friday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 2-1 Airbus UK
Friday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 63.91%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 16.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 2-1 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawBala Town
16.08% (0.079000000000001 0.08) 20.02% (0.184 0.18) 63.91% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)
Both teams to score 54.01% (-0.453 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.06% (-0.687 -0.69)40.94% (0.694 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.67% (-0.704 -0.7)63.33% (0.71 0.71)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.47% (-0.32 -0.32)38.53% (0.32700000000001 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.72% (-0.308 -0.31)75.28% (0.315 0.31)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.86% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)12.14% (0.279 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.26% (-0.584 -0.58)37.74% (0.592 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 16.08%
    Bala Town 63.9%
    Draw 20.02%
Caernarfon TownDrawBala Town
2-1 @ 4.49% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 4.46% (0.101 0.1)
2-0 @ 2.13% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.5% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.43% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 16.08%
1-1 @ 9.41% (0.112 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.68% (0.146 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.02%
0-2 @ 10.39% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 9.92% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.86% (0.203 0.2)
0-3 @ 7.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.97% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-4 @ 3.85% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-4 @ 3.68% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.32% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.75% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-5 @ 1.63% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.55% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 63.9%

Head to Head
Apr 18, 2022 2.30pm
Feb 12, 2022 5.15pm
Caernarfon
3-3
Bala Town
Faux (49'), Bradley (71'), Jones (84')
Donohue (37')
Ebbe (14', 44'), Evans (86')
Smith (90'), Evans (90+3')
Feb 4, 2022 7.45pm
Bala Town
3-0
Caernarfon
Ebbe (36'), Shannon (71', 90+5')
Smith (75')

Hughes (29'), Bailey (55'), Thomas (62'), Jones (82')
Bailey (56')
May 4, 2021 7.45pm
Caernarfon
3-0
Bala Town
Cleworth (11', 45'), Bradley (54')

Stephens (52'), Smith (69'), Smith (79')
Apr 17, 2021 5.15pm
Bala Town
5-2
Caernarfon
Venables (20', 89'), Spittle (57'), Evans (69', 90+3')
Evans (14'), Venables (35'), Spittle (45+2'), A (45+2'), A (45+3')
Bickerstaff (33'), Hayes (45+2' pen.)
Edwards (36'), M (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont23155343182550
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU2310583430435
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
6Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry239683439-533
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
3Briton Ferry2364133547-1222
4Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
5Newtown AFCNewtown2355132648-2220
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2342171955-3614
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514


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