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Bala Town logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 21
Dec 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Maes Tegid

Bala Town
3 - 0
Caernarfon

Newell (16'), Roscrow (40'), Venables (89' pen.)
Smith (56'), Peate (86')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Hughes (7'), Edwards (83'), Cartwright (88'), Gosset (88')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bala Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 1-5 Bala Town
Monday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 1-5 Bala Town
Monday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 77%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 8.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.86%) and 1-0 (10.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.

Result
Bala TownDrawCaernarfon Town
77% (0.025999999999996 0.03) 14.97% (-0.013 -0.01) 8.04% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 44.89% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.08% (0.043999999999997 0.04)38.92% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.76% (0.045999999999999 0.05)61.24% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.65% (0.018000000000001 0.02)8.35% (-0.014899999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.92% (0.039000000000001 0.04)29.08% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.98% (0.011999999999993 0.01)51.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)85.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 76.98%
    Caernarfon Town 8.04%
    Draw 14.97%
Bala TownDrawCaernarfon Town
2-0 @ 13.13%
3-0 @ 10.86%
1-0 @ 10.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 7.31% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 6.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.54% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 3.35% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-1 @ 2.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.002 0)
6-0 @ 1.39% (0.0029999999999999 0)
6-1 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 76.98%
1-1 @ 7.12% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.97%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 14.97%
0-1 @ 2.87% (-0.004 -0)
1-2 @ 2.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 8.04%

How you voted: Bala Town vs Caernarfon

Bala Town
60.0%
Draw
0.0%
Caernarfon Town
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 2.30pm
Caernarfon
1-5
Bala Town
Thomas (5')
Williams (30')
Kay (10'), Nalatche Mendes (34'), Wall (51'), Shannon (65'), Davies (90+2')
Apr 18, 2022 2.30pm
Caernarfon
0-2
Bala Town

Donohue (55')
Simpson (80')
Evans (55'), Ebbe (75')
Feb 12, 2022 5.15pm
Caernarfon
3-3
Bala Town
Faux (49'), Bradley (71'), Jones (84')
Donohue (37')
Ebbe (14', 44'), Evans (86')
Smith (90'), Evans (90+3')
Feb 4, 2022 7.45pm
Bala Town
3-0
Caernarfon
Ebbe (36'), Shannon (71', 90+5')
Smith (75')

Hughes (29'), Bailey (55'), Thomas (62'), Jones (82')
Bailey (56')
May 4, 2021 7.45pm
Caernarfon
3-0
Bala Town
Cleworth (11', 45'), Bradley (54')

Stephens (52'), Smith (69'), Smith (79')
rhs 2.0
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