MX23RW : Tuesday, October 1 11:06:30| >> :300:86500:86500:
Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 20
Dec 26, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
1 - 2
Connah's Quay

Sears (90+5')
Sutton (53'), Roberts (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Morris (85'), Davies (90+2')
Harrington (19'), Kenny (21')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 4-2 Colwyn Bay
Saturday, December 2 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 3-1 Pontypridd
Saturday, December 16 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 2-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
27.46% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 23.93% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 48.61% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Both teams to score 57.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)44.24% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)66.62% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.42% (0.0020000000000095 0)29.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.39% (0.00099999999999767 0)65.6% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.68% (0.0010000000000048 0)18.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)49.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 27.46%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 48.61%
    Draw 23.93%
Newtown AFCDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 6.82% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 6.6% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 4.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.77%
3-2 @ 2.35%
3-0 @ 1.63%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 27.46%
1-1 @ 11.2%
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.42% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.93%
1-2 @ 9.51%
0-1 @ 9.2% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 7.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 5.38% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 4.42% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.87%
2-4 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 48.61%

Head to Head
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Connah's Quay
3-1
Newtown
Davies (2'), Nash (63'), Franklin (66')
Disney (18'), Harrington (88')
Hughes (15')
Evans (52'), Hughes (90')
Mar 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Connah's Quay
2-0
Newtown
Morris (50' pen.), Kenny (70')
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Newtown
1-1
Connah's Quay
Robles (6')
Wilde (90')
Jan 7, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Newtown
0-0
Connah's Quay
Oct 28, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Connah's Quay
3-1
Newtown
Morris (27' pen.), Wilde (43'), Hayes (65')
Williams (82')
rhs 2.0
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