Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 17
Nov 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park
Newtown3 - 1Pontypridd
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Pontypridd United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 1-1 Newtown
Sunday, November 19 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Sunday, November 19 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pontypridd 0-3 Colwyn Bay
Sunday, November 19 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Sunday, November 19 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 49.55%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 25.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Pontypridd Town AFC win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.
Result | ||
Newtown AFC | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
49.55% ( -0.06) | 25.35% ( 0.02) | 25.09% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 50.86% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.97% ( -0.06) | 52.03% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.24% ( -0.06) | 73.76% ( 0.06) |
Newtown AFC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.98% ( -0.06) | 21.01% ( 0.05) |