MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 21:22:14| >> :300:86500:86500:
Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 17
Nov 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
3 - 1
Pontypridd

Sears (27'), Williams (51'), Ismail (90+6')
Evans (15'), Hughes (41'), Sears (45+2'), Wycherley (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Davies (75')
Rees (25'), Jones (39'), Davies (45+3'), Shepherd (56')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Pontypridd United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 1-1 Newtown
Sunday, November 19 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pontypridd 0-3 Colwyn Bay
Sunday, November 19 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 49.55%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 25.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Pontypridd Town AFC win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawPontypridd Town AFC
49.55% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06) 25.35% (0.023 0.02) 25.09% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 50.86% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.97% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)52.03% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.24% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)73.76% (0.056000000000012 0.06)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.98% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)21.01% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.2% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)53.79% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.39%35.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.62% (0.0019999999999989 0)72.38% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 49.55%
    Pontypridd Town AFC 25.09%
    Draw 25.35%
Newtown AFCDrawPontypridd Town AFC
1-0 @ 11.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.11% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.74% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.85% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 49.55%
1-1 @ 12.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.48% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 7.73% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.99% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.37% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 25.09%

Head to Head
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Pontypridd
0-1
Newtown

Hunt (35'), Shepherd (62'), Cummings (90+6')
Robles (80')
Hughes (3'), Roberts (45+1'), Robles (89')
Roberts (84')
Dec 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Newtown
4-2
Pontypridd
Robles (4', 40', 88'), Williams (15' pen.)
Ahmun (13', 90+1')
Oct 14, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Pontypridd
1-4
Newtown
Rees (55')
Robles (17', 43'), Williams (27' pen.), Cowans (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont17114234122237
2The New SaintsNew Saints16120445192636
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest178632081230
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU178452620628
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town1741032218422
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1742112035-1514
11Briton Ferry1632111932-1311
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1731131442-2810


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