MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 08:29:59| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 16
Nov 19, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
The KYMCO Stadium
Newtown logo

Pen-y-Bont
1 - 1
Newtown

Venables (71')
Kircough (63'), Harling (73'), Evans (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Smith (49')
Evans (21'), Wycherley (33'), Cowans (66')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Caernarfon 2-4 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-1 Newtown
Tuesday, November 14 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawNewtown AFC
36.63% (-0.995 -1) 24.93% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05) 38.44% (1.046 1.05)
Both teams to score 58.01% (0.155 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.67% (0.214 0.21)45.33% (-0.215 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.33% (0.20500000000001 0.21)67.66% (-0.20399999999999 -0.2)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.69% (-0.43899999999999 -0.44)24.31% (0.439 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.3% (-0.623 -0.62)58.7% (0.622 0.62)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.65% (0.648 0.65)23.35% (-0.648 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.68% (0.932 0.93)57.32% (-0.931 -0.93)
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 36.63%
    Newtown AFC 38.44%
    Draw 24.92%
Pen-y-BontDrawNewtown AFC
2-1 @ 8.26% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-0 @ 8.03% (-0.178 -0.18)
2-0 @ 5.68% (-0.2 -0.2)
3-1 @ 3.89% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.68% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.95% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 36.63%
1-1 @ 11.67% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.01% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.68% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.92%
1-2 @ 8.49% (0.135 0.14)
0-1 @ 8.26% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 6.01% (0.17 0.17)
1-3 @ 4.12% (0.141 0.14)
0-3 @ 2.91% (0.135 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.91% (0.064 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.078 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.043 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 38.44%

Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Newtown
1-3
Pen-y-Bont
Oswell (88')
Sutton (90+2')
Venables (18', 34'), Evans (71' og.)
Apr 22, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 10
Pen-y-Bont
2-1
Newtown
Reffell (62'), Yorwerth (84')
Ismail (16')
Mar 18, 2023 2.30pm
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Pen-y-Bont
3-0
Newtown
Georgievsky (17'), Reynolds (41'), Wood (44')
Sep 17, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 7
Newtown
2-3
Pen-y-Bont
Williams (58', 66')
Whitmore (33'), D. Wood (45+3' pen.), Snaith (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints17120545202536
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon188462727028
6Barry Town UnitedBarry188462932-328
7Bala TownBala Town1851032318525
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1742112133-1214
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1831141445-3110


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