Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 21
Dec 30, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Maes Tegid
Bala Town2 - 1Newtown
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Newtown AFC.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 2-3 Bala Town
Tuesday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Tuesday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
20
Last Game: Newtown 1-2 Connah's Quay
Tuesday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Tuesday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Bala Town | Draw | Newtown AFC |
38.85% ( -0.08) | 26.65% ( 0.01) | 34.49% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 51.88% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.91% ( -0.04) | 53.08% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.33% ( -0.03) | 74.66% ( 0.02) |
Bala Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.32% ( -0.06) | 26.67% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.08% ( -0.08) | 61.92% ( 0.07) |
Newtown AFC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.74% ( 0.02) | 29.25% ( -0.03) |