Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 13
Oct 29, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch
Cardiff MU0 - 3Caernarfon
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Caernarfon Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newtown 0-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
14
Last Game: New Saints 3-0 Caernarfon
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
18
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 56.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 20.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cardiff MU | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
56.84% ( -0.07) | 22.33% ( 0.06) | 20.83% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 55.2% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.26% ( -0.27) | 43.74% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.87% ( -0.27) | 66.13% ( 0.27) |
Cardiff MU Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.82% ( -0.11) | 15.17% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.21% ( -0.22) | 43.79% ( 0.22) |
Caernarfon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.07% ( -0.15) | 34.93% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.33% ( -0.16) | 71.67% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff MU 56.84%
Caernarfon Town 20.83%
Draw 22.33%
Cardiff MU | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
1-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.92% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 56.84% | 1-1 @ 10.51% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.33% | 0-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.53% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2% Total : 20.83% |
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 2.30pm
Caernarfon
5-1
Cardiff MU
Wynne (3', 25'), Thomas (42', 88'), Lang (73' og.)
Edwards (80')
Edwards (80')
Evans (30')
Chubb (73'), Price (82')
Chubb (73'), Price (82')
May 7, 2022 5.15pm
Apr 15, 2022 2.30pm
Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm
Cardiff MU
0-0
Caernarfon
Price (84')
Nov 6, 2021 2.30pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-11-23 08:30:27
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 32 | 9 | 23 | 37 |
2 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 15 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 33 |
3 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 29 |
4 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
5 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
6 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 24 |
7 | Bala TownBala Town | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 21 |
8 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 19 |
10 | Briton Ferry | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 11 |
11 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 11 |
12 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 10 |
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