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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 13
Oct 29, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Cardiff MU
0 - 3
Caernarfon


Jones (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Donohue (62' pen.), O'Rourke (72', 89')
Thomas (12')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 0-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 3-0 Caernarfon
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 56.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 20.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawCaernarfon Town
56.84% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07) 22.33% (0.062000000000001 0.06) 20.83% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 55.2% (-0.203 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.26% (-0.275 -0.27)43.74% (0.274 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.87% (-0.27 -0.27)66.13% (0.268 0.27)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.82% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)15.17% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.21% (-0.219 -0.22)43.79% (0.218 0.22)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.07% (-0.151 -0.15)34.93% (0.15 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.33% (-0.159 -0.16)71.67% (0.158 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 56.84%
    Caernarfon Town 20.83%
    Draw 22.33%
Cardiff MUDrawCaernarfon Town
1-0 @ 9.99% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 9.42% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.23% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.94% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.11% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 56.84%
1-1 @ 10.51% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.3% (0.063 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.33%
0-1 @ 5.58% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.93% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 20.83%

Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 2.30pm
Caernarfon
5-1
Cardiff MU
Wynne (3', 25'), Thomas (42', 88'), Lang (73' og.)
Edwards (80')
Evans (30')
Chubb (73'), Price (82')
May 7, 2022 5.15pm
Caernarfon
1-0
Cardiff MU
Hayes (45+1')
Donohue (63'), Thomas (72')

Chubb (78')
Apr 15, 2022 2.30pm
Caernarfon
2-0
Cardiff MU
Mendes (31'), Harrison (67')

Craven (43'), Roscrow (68')
Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm
Cardiff MU
0-0
Caernarfon

Price (84')
Nov 6, 2021 2.30pm
Cardiff MU
0-1
Caernarfon

Craven (15'), Roscrow (53')
Thomas (23')
rhs 2.0
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