MX23RW : Wednesday, March 12 05:27:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 13
Oct 29, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Cardiff MU
0 - 3
Caernarfon


Jones (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Donohue (62' pen.), O'Rourke (72', 89')
Thomas (12')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 0-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 3-0 Caernarfon
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 56.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 20.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawCaernarfon Town
56.84% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07) 22.33% (0.062000000000001 0.06) 20.83% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 55.2% (-0.203 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.26% (-0.275 -0.27)43.74% (0.274 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.87% (-0.27 -0.27)66.13% (0.268 0.27)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.82% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)15.17% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.21% (-0.219 -0.22)43.79% (0.218 0.22)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.07% (-0.151 -0.15)34.93% (0.15 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.33% (-0.159 -0.16)71.67% (0.158 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 56.84%
    Caernarfon Town 20.83%
    Draw 22.33%
Cardiff MUDrawCaernarfon Town
1-0 @ 9.99% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 9.42% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.23% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.94% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.11% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 56.84%
1-1 @ 10.51% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.3% (0.063 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.33%
0-1 @ 5.58% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.93% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 20.83%

Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 2.30pm
Caernarfon
5-1
Cardiff MU
Wynne (3', 25'), Thomas (42', 88'), Lang (73' og.)
Edwards (80')
Evans (30')
Chubb (73'), Price (82')
May 7, 2022 5.15pm
Caernarfon
1-0
Cardiff MU
Hayes (45+1')
Donohue (63'), Thomas (72')

Chubb (78')
Apr 15, 2022 2.30pm
Caernarfon
2-0
Cardiff MU
Mendes (31'), Harrison (67')

Craven (43'), Roscrow (68')
Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm
Cardiff MU
0-0
Caernarfon

Price (84')
Nov 6, 2021 2.30pm
Cardiff MU
0-1
Caernarfon

Craven (15'), Roscrow (53')
Thomas (23')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints28230578285069
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont27166548272154
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest27139535191648
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU27125104137441
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon28125114446-241
6Bala TownBala Town2771193434032
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry2812794447-343
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay281151243291438
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2893163758-2130
4Briton Ferry2875164358-1526
5Newtown AFCNewtown2868143153-2226
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2852212365-4217
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!