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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 19
Dec 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Ground Cae-y-Castell

Flint Town
2 - 1
Caernarfon

Stephens (10'), Cole (90')
Beaumont (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Faux (53')
Cartwright (52'), Simpson (63'), Gosset (80')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Flint Town United and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flint Town United

All competitions
Last Game: Flint Town 1-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, December 10 at 1pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-3 Newtown
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 53.37%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 23.64% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Flint Town United in this match.

Result
Flint Town UnitedDrawCaernarfon Town
53.37% (0.233 0.23) 23% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 23.64% (-0.181 -0.18)
Both teams to score 56.82% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.6% (0.044000000000004 0.04)43.41% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.2% (0.042999999999999 0.04)65.8% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Flint Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.76% (0.099999999999994 0.1)16.24% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.24% (0.177 0.18)45.76% (-0.174 -0.17)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.84% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)32.17% (0.134 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.35% (-0.15 -0.15)68.66% (0.15400000000001 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Flint Town United 53.37%
    Caernarfon Town 23.64%
    Draw 23%
Flint Town UnitedDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.5% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.63% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.93% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.23% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.7% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.38% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.98% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 53.37%
1-1 @ 10.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23%
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.93% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.36% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 23.64%

Head to Head
Oct 14, 2022 7.45pm
Caernarfon
2-0
Flint Town
O'Rourke (82'), Wynne (86')
Edwards (36')
May 14, 2022 2pm
Caernarfon
2-1
Flint Town
Gosset (97'), Bell (120')
Edwards (22'), Donohue (44')
Nash (102')
Hart (38'), Jones (100')
Dec 21, 2021 7.45pm
Flint Town
3-4
Caernarfon
Roberts (28'), Cadwallader (75' pen., 77')
Weaver (3'), Jones (45'), Nash (69'), Kenny (70'), Harwood (85'), (87')
Weaver (88')
Hayes (21'), Hughes (22'), Edwards (42'), Donohue (45+2' pen.)
Hughes (35'), Williams (39'), Thomas (70'), Edwards (76'), Bailey (78'), John (89')
Simpson (63')
Oct 12, 2021 7.45pm
Caernarfon
2-3
Flint Town
Hughes (12'), Hayes (83')
Edwards (23'), Simpson (75')
Wilde (72', 89'), Harwood (76')
Phillips (24'), Roberts (32'), Jones (33'), Hart (90')
Mar 13, 2021 2.30pm
Flint Town
0-2
Caernarfon

Bratley (31'), Amis (64'), Harwood (68'), Maher (72')
Edwards (63'), Bradley (66')
Kenny (34'), Edwards (45+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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