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Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
0 - 4
Caernarfon


Jones (24'), Owen (40')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mooney (6'), Davies (69'), Clarke (89'), Sutton (90+4' og.)
Sutton (22'), Sharp (36'), Downey (43'), Mendes (83')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 0-0 Newtown
Friday, August 16 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 1-2 Haverfordwest
Saturday, August 17 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 65.55%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 16.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.73%) and 3-1 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.45%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawCaernarfon Town
65.55% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07) 17.76% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 16.69% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 64.13% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.34% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)28.66% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.44% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)49.55% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.73% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)8.27% (0.0289 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.11% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)28.89% (0.073 0.07)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.91% (0.010999999999996 0.01)30.09% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.77% (0.013000000000005 0.01)66.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 65.55%
    Caernarfon Town 16.69%
    Draw 17.76%
Newtown AFCDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.42% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.2% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 4% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 2.4% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.44% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
6-1 @ 1% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 65.55%
1-1 @ 7.45% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 2.49% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 17.76%
1-2 @ 4.47% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 2.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1.8% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 16.69%

Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Newtown
5-0
Caernarfon
Williams (35', 54'), Hughes (64'), Ismail (77' pen.), Robles (90+4')
Sutton (41')

Mooney (90+3')
Mar 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Caernarfon
1-0
Newtown
Gosset (37')

Sutton (90+5')
Oct 7, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Newtown
4-0
Caernarfon
Williams (40', 45+3', 71'), Sears (85')
Evans (51'), Sutton (57'), Cowans (73'), Sears (77'), Mills-Evans (89'), Jones (90+3')

Donohue (90+5')
Aug 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Caernarfon
2-1
Newtown
Mooney (40'), Lloyd (90+1')
Clarke (45+4'), Davies (53'), Mooney (60'), Thomas (84')
Davies (82')
Williams (90+10')
Evans (18'), Roberts (68'), Ismail (80'), Boakye (84')
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Caernarfon
2-3
Newtown
O'Rourke (30'), Edwards (62')
Robles (8'), Williams (27'), Rushton (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
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6-52
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9.05pm
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1611413292337
2The New SaintsNew Saints14110341142733
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest168532081229
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU167452320325
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town164932218421
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1632111834-1611
11Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1631121439-2510
12Briton Ferry1422101529-148
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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