MX23RW : Sunday, October 6 17:49:34| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Mar 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay
1 - 5
New Saints

Kenny (46')
Edwards (72')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Daniels (4'), Clark (20'), Davies (36'), Williams (42'), McManus (85')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bala Town 1-0 Connah's Quay
Friday, March 1 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 4-0 Cardiff MU
Saturday, March 2 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 66.8%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 15.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.19%) and 1-3 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a Connah's Quay Nomads win it was 2-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawThe New Saints
15.66% (-0.253 -0.25) 17.53% (-0.121 -0.12) 66.8% (0.373 0.37)
Both teams to score 62.49% (-0.16 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.36% (0.066999999999993 0.07)29.63% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.24% (0.079000000000001 0.08)50.75% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.12% (-0.246 -0.25)31.87% (0.244 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.68% (-0.281 -0.28)68.31% (0.277 0.28)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.73% (0.096000000000004 0.1)8.27% (-0.097 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.12% (0.24000000000001 0.24)28.87% (-0.241 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 15.66%
    The New Saints 66.8%
    Draw 17.53%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawThe New Saints
2-1 @ 4.29% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-0 @ 3.01% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 1.72% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.64% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 15.66%
1-1 @ 7.51% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 2.63% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 17.53%
1-2 @ 9.36% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.19% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 7.78% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 6.8% (0.068 0.07)
0-1 @ 6.57% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 4.85% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 4.45% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-4 @ 4.24% (0.062 0.06)
2-4 @ 2.77% (0.004 0)
1-5 @ 2.42% (0.03 0.03)
0-5 @ 2.11% (0.04 0.04)
2-5 @ 1.38% (0.0079999999999998 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.06% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
1-6 @ 1% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 66.8%

Head to Head
Dec 31, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Connah's Quay
0-4
New Saints

Disney (88')
Pask (7'), Brobbel (22'), Young (28', 56')
Marriott (88')
Aug 11, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
New Saints
6-2
Connah's Quay
Cieslewicz (13', 37'), McManus (45+3', 53'), Williams (55'), Smith (89')
Williams (33'), Davies (83'), Smith (86')
Edwards (2'), Davies (35')
Edwards (79'), Disney (83')
Apr 22, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 10
New Saints
4-1
Connah's Quay
Daniels (34', 70'), McManus (58', 88')
Harrington (90+1')
Mar 17, 2023 7.45pm
Dec 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Connah's Quay
1-1
New Saints
Horan (50')
Dafydd (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
2.30pm
Jets
@
Vikings
6pm
Panthers
@
Bears
6pm
Ravens
@
Bengals
6pm
Colts
@
Jags
6pm
Dolphins
@
Patriots
6pm
Bills
@
Texans
6pm
Browns
@
Washington
9.05pm
Cardinals
@
49ers
9.05pm
Raiders
@
Broncos
9.25pm
Packers
@
Rams
9.25pm
Giants
@
Seahawks
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont118211951426
2Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest11632134921
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU116231711620
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon105231712517
5Bala TownBala Town114431612416
6The New SaintsNew Saints75022071315
7Newtown AFCNewtown114341523-815
8Barry Town UnitedBarry113441218-613
9Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay103251412211
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town113171318-510
11Briton Ferry9126821-135
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth11119526-214


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!