MX23RW : Monday, February 3 14:56:08| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 17
Nov 23, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Cardiff MU
3 - 0
Aberystwyth

Rees (47'), Vincent (80'), Clubb (81')
Jones (38'), Kabongo (57'), Craven (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Patterson (24'), Davies (36')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff MU 3-3 Bala Town
Saturday, November 9 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 3-1 Newtown
Friday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 50.19%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawAberystwyth Town
50.19% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 23.04% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 26.77% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 60.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.31% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)40.69% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.92% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)63.08% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.62% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)16.38% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.98% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)46.02% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.77% (0.025000000000006 0.03)28.24% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.06% (0.027999999999999 0.03)63.94% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 50.19%
    Aberystwyth Town 26.77%
    Draw 23.04%
Cardiff MUDrawAberystwyth Town
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.37% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.57% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.77% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.56% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.06% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 50.19%
1-1 @ 10.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.63% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.04%
1-2 @ 6.69% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.85% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.7% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.82% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 26.77%

Head to Head
Sep 24, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 9
Aberystwyth
1-2
Cardiff MU
Torry (50')
Arnison (32')
Roscrow (22'), Edwards (54')
Craven (81'), Kabongo (84')
Dec 2, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Cardiff MU
4-2
Aberystwyth
Evans (40', 56'), Craven (79'), H (83')
Evans (86')
Cadwallader (62'), Darlington (74')
Aug 12, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Aberystwyth
0-1
Cardiff MU

Owen (56')
Evans (34')
Evans (70'), Evans (73'), Rees (83')
Evans (75')
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Cardiff MU
2-1
Aberystwyth
Rees (9', 28')
Darlington (81')
Aug 20, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 2
Aberystwyth
0-4
Cardiff MU
Jones (8', 29', 34'), Evans (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints23180564273754
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont24156343182551
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest24128432131944
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2311483836237
5Cardiff MUCardiff MU2410593533235
6Bala TownBala Town2471163127432
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry2410683740-336
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2485113428629
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2472153051-2123
4Briton Ferry2464143750-1322
5Newtown AFCNewtown2455142649-2320
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2452172257-3517
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514


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