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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 13
Oct 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
1 - 4
Aberystwyth

Clarke (90+1')
Owen (37')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Evans (23'), Bradford (29'), Flint (34', 82')
Flint (69'), Flint (73'), Jones (81')
Lewis (69')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 1-2 Newtown
Saturday, October 12 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-3 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, October 12 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 72.55%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 11.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 3-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-2 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawAberystwyth Town
72.55% (0.045000000000002 0.05) 16.37% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 11.09% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.7% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.47% (0.048999999999992 0.05)35.53% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.42% (0.054000000000002 0.05)57.58% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.48% (0.022999999999996 0.02)8.52% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.49% (0.052999999999997 0.05)29.51% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.61%42.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.23% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)78.78% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 72.55%
    Aberystwyth Town 11.09%
    Draw 16.37%
Caernarfon TownDrawAberystwyth Town
2-0 @ 10.95%
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 8.99% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 8.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.72% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 5.54% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.75% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 2.73% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.34% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.04% (0.0029999999999997 0)
6-0 @ 1.12% (0.004 0)
5-2 @ 1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
6-1 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 72.55%
1-1 @ 7.64% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.03% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-0 @ 3.61% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 16.37%
1-2 @ 3.28% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.1% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.33% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.15%
1-3 @ 0.94% (-0.0019999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 11.09%

Head to Head
Oct 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Caernarfon
3-0
Aberystwyth
Clarke (59' pen.), Davies (66'), Lloyd (85')
Cartwright (4'), Donohue (63'), Gosset (78')

Thorn (28'), H (82')
Sep 9, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Aberystwyth
2-4
Caernarfon
Owen (4'), Lewis (26')
Bradford (40'), Jones (66')
Clarke (6', 19'), Davies (71', 90+2')
Lloyd (34')
Apr 22, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 10
Aberystwyth
3-2
Caernarfon
Arnison (39'), Cadwallader (55'), Flint (90+4')
Hughes (2'), Bell (45+1')
Mar 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Caernarfon
0-1
Aberystwyth
Flint (41')
Jan 21, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 22
Aberystwyth
2-1
Caernarfon
Arnison (8'), Flint (77')
Alun (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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