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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 13
Oct 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
1 - 4
Aberystwyth

Clarke (90+1')
Owen (37')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Evans (23'), Bradford (29'), Flint (34', 82')
Flint (69'), Flint (73'), Jones (81')
Lewis (69')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 1-2 Newtown
Saturday, October 12 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-3 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, October 12 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 72.55%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 11.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 3-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-2 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawAberystwyth Town
72.55% (0.045000000000002 0.05) 16.37% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 11.09% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.7% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.47% (0.048999999999992 0.05)35.53% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.42% (0.054000000000002 0.05)57.58% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.48% (0.022999999999996 0.02)8.52% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.49% (0.052999999999997 0.05)29.51% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.61%42.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.23% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)78.78% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 72.55%
    Aberystwyth Town 11.09%
    Draw 16.37%
Caernarfon TownDrawAberystwyth Town
2-0 @ 10.95%
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 8.99% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 8.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.72% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 5.54% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.75% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 2.73% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.34% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.04% (0.0029999999999997 0)
6-0 @ 1.12% (0.004 0)
5-2 @ 1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
6-1 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 72.55%
1-1 @ 7.64% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.03% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-0 @ 3.61% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 16.37%
1-2 @ 3.28% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.1% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.33% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.15%
1-3 @ 0.94% (-0.0019999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 11.09%

Head to Head
Oct 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Caernarfon
3-0
Aberystwyth
Clarke (59' pen.), Davies (66'), Lloyd (85')
Cartwright (4'), Donohue (63'), Gosset (78')

Thorn (28'), H (82')
Sep 9, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Aberystwyth
2-4
Caernarfon
Owen (4'), Lewis (26')
Bradford (40'), Jones (66')
Clarke (6', 19'), Davies (71', 90+2')
Lloyd (34')
Apr 22, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 10
Aberystwyth
3-2
Caernarfon
Arnison (39'), Cadwallader (55'), Flint (90+4')
Hughes (2'), Bell (45+1')
Mar 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Caernarfon
0-1
Aberystwyth
Flint (41')
Jan 21, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 22
Aberystwyth
2-1
Caernarfon
Arnison (8'), Flint (77')
Alun (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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