Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 16
Nov 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Park Avenue Ground
Aberystwyth3 - 1Newtown
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Newtown AFC.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Briton Ferry 4-0 Aberystwyth
Saturday, November 2 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, November 2 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
11
Last Game: Newtown 0-0 Bala Town
Saturday, November 2 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, November 2 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 62.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 16.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.13%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-0 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Newtown AFC |
16.29% ( 0.14) | 21.16% ( 0.48) | 62.55% ( -0.62) |
Both teams to score 50.62% ( -1.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.33% ( -1.81) | 45.67% ( 1.81) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.01% ( -1.75) | 67.99% ( 1.75) |
Aberystwyth Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.86% ( -0.92) | 41.14% ( 0.91) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.32% ( -0.82) | 77.68% ( 0.82) |
Newtown AFC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86% ( -0.76) | 14% ( 0.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.47% ( -1.51) | 41.53% ( 1.51) |
Score Analysis |
Aberystwyth Town 16.29%
Newtown AFC 62.54%
Draw 21.15%
Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Newtown AFC |
1-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 4.47% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.81% Total : 16.29% | 1-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.95% Total : 21.15% | 0-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.55) 0-2 @ 11.13% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 9.89% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 7.3% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 6.48% ( -0.2) 0-4 @ 3.59% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 3.18% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.17) 2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.12) 0-5 @ 1.41% ( -0.09) 1-5 @ 1.25% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.71% Total : 62.54% |
Head to Head
Aug 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Newtown
4-1
Aberystwyth
Nov 14, 2023 8pm
Dec 30, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 21
Newtown
6-1
Aberystwyth
Flint (14' og.), Williams (51' pen.), Aris (54', 63'), Rushton (56', 73')
Evans (80')
Dec 26, 2022 2.30pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-12-13 13:30:24
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 12 | 23 | 40 |
2 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 17 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 45 | 20 | 25 | 36 |
3 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 30 |
4 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 28 |
5 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 28 |
6 | Bala TownBala Town | 18 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 25 |
7 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 |
8 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 19 |
10 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
11 | Briton Ferry | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 18 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 45 | -31 | 10 |
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