MX23RW : Friday, December 13 13:33:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 16
Nov 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Park Avenue Ground
Newtown logo

Aberystwyth
3 - 1
Newtown

Flint (13'), Patterson (29'), Evans (83')
Flint (72'), Bradford (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Lock (66')
Roberts (52'), Williams (71'), Oswell (78')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Briton Ferry 4-0 Aberystwyth
Saturday, November 2 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 0-0 Bala Town
Saturday, November 2 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 62.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 16.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.13%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-0 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawNewtown AFC
16.29% (0.143 0.14) 21.16% (0.475 0.48) 62.55% (-0.618 -0.62)
Both teams to score 50.62% (-1.238 -1.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.33% (-1.811 -1.81)45.67% (1.811 1.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.01% (-1.747 -1.75)67.99% (1.747 1.75)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.86% (-0.916 -0.92)41.14% (0.914 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.32% (-0.82 -0.82)77.68% (0.819 0.82)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86% (-0.75800000000001 -0.76)14% (0.759 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.47% (-1.511 -1.51)41.53% (1.512 1.51)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 16.29%
    Newtown AFC 62.54%
    Draw 21.15%
Aberystwyth TownDrawNewtown AFC
1-0 @ 5.12% (0.265 0.27)
2-1 @ 4.47% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 2.27% (0.063 0.06)
3-1 @ 1.32% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.3% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 16.29%
1-1 @ 10.05% (0.241 0.24)
0-0 @ 5.76% (0.434 0.43)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 21.15%
0-1 @ 11.32% (0.55 0.55)
0-2 @ 11.13% (0.25 0.25)
1-2 @ 9.89% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
0-3 @ 7.3% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 6.48% (-0.202 -0.2)
0-4 @ 3.59% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-4 @ 3.18% (-0.192 -0.19)
2-3 @ 2.88% (-0.165 -0.17)
2-4 @ 1.41% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-5 @ 1.41% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-5 @ 1.25% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 62.54%

Head to Head
Aug 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Newtown
4-1
Aberystwyth
Oswell (50', 70'), Roberts (68'), Lock (77')
Roberts (25'), Lock (51')
Evans (45+2')
Evans (40'), Lewis (40')
Nov 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Aberystwyth
0-1
Newtown

Davies (67')
Jones (80')
Wycherley (77')
Aug 26, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 3
Newtown
0-0
Aberystwyth
Ismail (33'), Sears (83'), Evans (90+3')
Walsh (90+3'), Walsh (90+5')
Dec 30, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 21
Newtown
6-1
Aberystwyth
Flint (14' og.), Williams (51' pen.), Aris (54', 63'), Rushton (56', 73')
Evans (80')
Dec 26, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Aberystwyth
1-2
Newtown
Evans (28')
Mills-Evans (30', 43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints17120545202536
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU188462722528
5Barry Town UnitedBarry178452729-228
6Bala TownBala Town1851032318525
7Caernarfon TownCaernarfon177462425-125
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1852112335-1217
11Briton Ferry1742112133-1214
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1831141445-3110


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