MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 21:49:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 16
Nov 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Park Avenue Ground
Newtown logo

Aberystwyth
3 - 1
Newtown

Flint (13'), Patterson (29'), Evans (83')
Flint (72'), Bradford (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Lock (66')
Roberts (52'), Williams (71'), Oswell (78')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Briton Ferry 4-0 Aberystwyth
Saturday, November 2 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 0-0 Bala Town
Saturday, November 2 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 62.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 16.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.13%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-0 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawNewtown AFC
16.29% (0.143 0.14) 21.16% (0.475 0.48) 62.55% (-0.618 -0.62)
Both teams to score 50.62% (-1.238 -1.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.33% (-1.811 -1.81)45.67% (1.811 1.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.01% (-1.747 -1.75)67.99% (1.747 1.75)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.86% (-0.916 -0.92)41.14% (0.914 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.32% (-0.82 -0.82)77.68% (0.819 0.82)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86% (-0.75800000000001 -0.76)14% (0.759 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.47% (-1.511 -1.51)41.53% (1.512 1.51)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 16.29%
    Newtown AFC 62.54%
    Draw 21.15%
Aberystwyth TownDrawNewtown AFC
1-0 @ 5.12% (0.265 0.27)
2-1 @ 4.47% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 2.27% (0.063 0.06)
3-1 @ 1.32% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.3% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 16.29%
1-1 @ 10.05% (0.241 0.24)
0-0 @ 5.76% (0.434 0.43)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 21.15%
0-1 @ 11.32% (0.55 0.55)
0-2 @ 11.13% (0.25 0.25)
1-2 @ 9.89% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
0-3 @ 7.3% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 6.48% (-0.202 -0.2)
0-4 @ 3.59% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-4 @ 3.18% (-0.192 -0.19)
2-3 @ 2.88% (-0.165 -0.17)
2-4 @ 1.41% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-5 @ 1.41% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-5 @ 1.25% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 62.54%

Head to Head
Aug 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Newtown
4-1
Aberystwyth
Oswell (50', 70'), Roberts (68'), Lock (77')
Roberts (25'), Lock (51')
Evans (45+2')
Evans (40'), Lewis (40')
Nov 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Aberystwyth
0-1
Newtown

Davies (67')
Jones (80')
Wycherley (77')
Aug 26, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 3
Newtown
0-0
Aberystwyth
Ismail (33'), Sears (83'), Evans (90+3')
Walsh (90+3'), Walsh (90+5')
Dec 30, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 21
Newtown
6-1
Aberystwyth
Flint (14' og.), Williams (51' pen.), Aris (54', 63'), Rushton (56', 73')
Evans (80')
Dec 26, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Aberystwyth
1-2
Newtown
Evans (28')
Mills-Evans (30', 43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont17114234122237
2The New SaintsNew Saints16120445192636
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest178632081230
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU178452620628
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town1741032218422
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1742112035-1514
11Briton Ferry1632111932-1311
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1731131442-2810
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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