MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 08:49:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 14
Oct 25, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch
Newtown logo

Cardiff MU
2 - 1
Newtown

Hughes (6' og.), Evans (50')
Clay (27'), Kabongo (27'), Roscrow (35'), Lang (51'), Morgan (82'), Reynolds (90+3')
Veale (16'), Morgan (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Smith (8')
Smith (85')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff MU 1-1 Pen-y-Bont
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 2-4 Barry
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 37.79%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawNewtown AFC
37.79% (-0.012 -0.01) 25.62% (0.012 0.01) 36.58% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Both teams to score 55.54% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.49% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)48.51% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.36% (-0.049000000000003 -0.05)70.63% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.86% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)25.14% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.15% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)59.85% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.19% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)25.81% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.23% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)60.77% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 37.79%
    Newtown AFC 36.58%
    Draw 25.62%
Cardiff MUDrawNewtown AFC
1-0 @ 8.96% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.38% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 6.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 37.79%
1-1 @ 12.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.49% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 8.79% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.22% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 5.95% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.71% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 36.58%

Head to Head
Sep 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Newtown
2-1
Cardiff MU
Lock (27'), Hughes (75')
Lock (34')
Reynolds (90+2')
Veale (65')
Apr 21, 2024 2.15pm
Gameweek 10
Cardiff MU
1-3
Newtown
Jones (70')
Cadwallader (19'), Jones (90+4')
Smith (14'), Williams (20'), Roberts (52')
Sutton (90')
Mar 9, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Newtown
2-0
Cardiff MU
Mwandwe (49'), Smith (74')
Robles (15'), Mwandwe (35'), Evans (79')

Clubb (14'), Skiverton (31'), Cadwallader (42')
Oct 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Cardiff MU
2-1
Newtown
Clubb (50'), H (90+1')
Craven (22')
Williams (53')
Sears (43'), Smith (45+2'), Roberts (89'), Hughes (90+7')
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Newtown
2-1
Cardiff MU
Sears (17'), Williams (31')
Cowans (84'), Roberts (89')
Craven (42')
Clubb (88'), McCarthy (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints17120545202536
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon188462727028
6Barry Town UnitedBarry188462932-328
7Bala TownBala Town1851032318525
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1742112133-1214
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1831141445-3110


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