MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 05:54:49| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 14
Oct 25, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch
Newtown logo

Cardiff MU
2 - 1
Newtown

Hughes (6' og.), Evans (50')
Clay (27'), Kabongo (27'), Roscrow (35'), Lang (51'), Morgan (82'), Reynolds (90+3')
Veale (16'), Morgan (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Smith (8')
Smith (85')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff MU 1-1 Pen-y-Bont
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 2-4 Barry
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 37.79%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawNewtown AFC
37.79% (-0.012 -0.01) 25.62% (0.012 0.01) 36.58% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Both teams to score 55.54% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.49% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)48.51% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.36% (-0.049000000000003 -0.05)70.63% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.86% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)25.14% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.15% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)59.85% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.19% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)25.81% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.23% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)60.77% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 37.79%
    Newtown AFC 36.58%
    Draw 25.62%
Cardiff MUDrawNewtown AFC
1-0 @ 8.96% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.38% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 6.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 37.79%
1-1 @ 12.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.49% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 8.79% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.22% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 5.95% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.71% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 36.58%

Head to Head
Sep 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Newtown
2-1
Cardiff MU
Lock (27'), Hughes (75')
Lock (34')
Reynolds (90+2')
Veale (65')
Apr 21, 2024 2.15pm
Gameweek 10
Cardiff MU
1-3
Newtown
Jones (70')
Cadwallader (19'), Jones (90+4')
Smith (14'), Williams (20'), Roberts (52')
Sutton (90')
Mar 9, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Newtown
2-0
Cardiff MU
Mwandwe (49'), Smith (74')
Robles (15'), Mwandwe (35'), Evans (79')

Clubb (14'), Skiverton (31'), Cadwallader (42')
Oct 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Cardiff MU
2-1
Newtown
Clubb (50'), H (90+1')
Craven (22')
Williams (53')
Sears (43'), Smith (45+2'), Roberts (89'), Hughes (90+7')
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Newtown
2-1
Cardiff MU
Sears (17'), Williams (31')
Cowans (84'), Roberts (89')
Craven (42')
Clubb (88'), McCarthy (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514


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