MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 21:42:05| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 13
Oct 21, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Ynysangharad Park

Pontypridd
0 - 3
Connah's Quay


Vaughan (72'), Hutson (84')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Davies (4'), Morris (28' pen.), Nash (33')
Harrington (32'), Disney (77')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pontypridd United and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barry 2-0 Pontypridd
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-1 Bala Town
Wednesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Pontypridd Town AFCDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
28.09% (0.071999999999999 0.07) 25.56% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 46.35% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Both teams to score 52.68% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.17% (0.011000000000003 0.01)50.83% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.28% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)72.71% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.46% (0.057999999999993 0.06)32.53% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.93% (0.068000000000001 0.07)69.07% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.08% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)21.92% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.81% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)55.19% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Pontypridd Town AFC 28.09%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 46.35%
    Draw 25.55%
Pontypridd Town AFCDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 8.01% (0.0099999999999989 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.82% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.5% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.55% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.68% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 28.09%
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 7.13% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.55%
0-1 @ 10.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.22% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.21% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.62%
1-4 @ 1.77% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 46.35%

Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 14
Pontypridd
0-5
Connah's Quay
Disney (15'), Wilde (20'), Holmes (28'), Hayes (36'), Morris (74')
Sep 24, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Connah's Quay
1-0
Pontypridd
Wilde (25')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont17114234122237
2The New SaintsNew Saints16120445192636
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest178632081230
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU178452620628
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town1741032218422
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1742112035-1514
11Briton Ferry1632111932-1311
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1731131442-2810


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