Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2023 at 7pm UK
Park Hall Stadium
New Saints1 - 1Swift Hesperange
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between The New Saints and Swift Hesperange.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: New Saints 0-2 Hacken
Tuesday, July 18 at 7pm in Champions League
Tuesday, July 18 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Swift Hesperange 0-2 Slovan Bratislava
Wednesday, July 19 at 7pm in Champions League
Wednesday, July 19 at 7pm in Champions League
Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
1 | Aberystwyth | 0 | nan | |
2 | Bala Town | 0 | nan | |
3 | Barry | 0 | nan | |
4 | Caernarfon | 0 | nan | |
5 | Cardiff MU | 0 | nan | |
6 | Colwyn Bay | 0 | nan | |
7 | Connah's Quay | 0 | nan | |
8 | Haverfordwest | 0 | nan | |
9 | Newtown | 0 | nan | |
10 | Pen-y-Bont | 0 | nan | |
11 | Pontypridd | 0 | nan | |
12 | New Saints | 0 | nan |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 56.36%. A win for Swift Hesperange had a probability of 22.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 1-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Swift Hesperange win was 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
The New Saints | Draw | Swift Hesperange |
56.36% ( 0.98) | 21.44% ( 0.08) | 22.2% ( -1.05) |
Both teams to score 60.34% ( -1.75) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.12% ( -1.65) | 37.88% ( 1.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.86% ( -1.79) | 60.14% ( 1.79) |
The New Saints Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.64% ( -0.25) | 13.36% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.75% ( -0.51) | 40.25% ( 0.51) |
Swift Hesperange Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.65% ( -1.81) | 30.35% ( 1.81) |