Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2023 at 7pm UK
Park Hall Stadium
New Saints1 - 1Swift Hesperange
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between The New Saints and Swift Hesperange.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: New Saints 0-2 Hacken
Tuesday, July 18 at 7pm in Champions League
Tuesday, July 18 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Swift Hesperange 0-2 Slovan Bratislava
Wednesday, July 19 at 7pm in Champions League
Wednesday, July 19 at 7pm in Champions League
Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
1 | Aberystwyth | 0 | nan | |
2 | Bala Town | 0 | nan | |
3 | Barry | 0 | nan | |
4 | Caernarfon | 0 | nan | |
5 | Cardiff MU | 0 | nan | |
6 | Colwyn Bay | 0 | nan | |
7 | Connah's Quay | 0 | nan | |
8 | Haverfordwest | 0 | nan | |
9 | Newtown | 0 | nan | |
10 | Pen-y-Bont | 0 | nan | |
11 | Pontypridd | 0 | nan | |
12 | New Saints | 0 | nan |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 56.36%. A win for Swift Hesperange had a probability of 22.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 1-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Swift Hesperange win was 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
The New Saints | Draw | Swift Hesperange |
56.36% ( 0.98) | 21.44% ( 0.08) | 22.2% ( -1.05) |
Both teams to score 60.34% ( -1.75) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.12% ( -1.65) | 37.88% ( 1.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.86% ( -1.79) | 60.14% ( 1.79) |
The New Saints Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.64% ( -0.25) | 13.36% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.75% ( -0.51) | 40.25% ( 0.51) |
Swift Hesperange Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.65% ( -1.81) | 30.35% ( 1.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.46% ( -2.21) | 66.54% ( 2.21) |
Score Analysis |
The New Saints 56.36%
Swift Hesperange 22.2%
Draw 21.44%
The New Saints | Draw | Swift Hesperange |
2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.49) 1-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.56) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.69% Total : 56.36% | 1-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.31) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.44% | 1-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.91% Total : 22.2% |
How you voted: New Saints vs Swift Hesperange
The New Saints
85.0%Draw
10.0%Swift Hesperange
5.0%20
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 22 |
4 | Arsenal | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 22 |
5 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 22 |
6 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 19 |
7 | Aston Villa | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Fulham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Brentford | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 17 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Bournemouth | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Everton | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 11 |
16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 9 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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