MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 18:06:24| >> :600:571126:571126:
Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2023 at 7pm UK
Park Hall Stadium
Swift Hesperange

New Saints
1 - 1
Swift Hesperange

Holden (74')
Pask (56'), Davies (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Martins (14')
Couturier (64'), Spruds (87'), Daniel Melao Simoes (89')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between The New Saints and Swift Hesperange.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: New Saints 0-2 Hacken
Tuesday, July 18 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Swift Hesperange 0-2 Slovan Bratislava
Wednesday, July 19 at 7pm in Champions League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Aberystwyth0nan
2Bala Town0nan
3Barry0nan
4Caernarfon0nan
5Cardiff MU0nan
6Colwyn Bay0nan
7Connah's Quay0nan
8Haverfordwest0nan
9Newtown0nan
10Pen-y-Bont0nan
11Pontypridd0nan
12New Saints0nan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 56.36%. A win for Swift Hesperange had a probability of 22.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 1-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Swift Hesperange win was 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
The New SaintsDrawSwift Hesperange
56.36% (0.977 0.98) 21.44% (0.075000000000003 0.08) 22.2% (-1.053 -1.05)
Both teams to score 60.34% (-1.746 -1.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.12% (-1.652 -1.65)37.88% (1.653 1.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.86% (-1.787 -1.79)60.14% (1.786 1.79)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.64% (-0.25 -0.25)13.36% (0.249 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.75% (-0.51000000000001 -0.51)40.25% (0.508 0.51)
Swift Hesperange Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.65% (-1.81 -1.81)30.35% (1.809 1.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.46% (-2.211 -2.21)66.54% (2.209 2.21)
Score Analysis
    The New Saints 56.36%
    Swift Hesperange 22.2%
    Draw 21.44%
The New SaintsDrawSwift Hesperange
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.111 0.11)
2-0 @ 8.22% (0.492 0.49)
1-0 @ 8.16% (0.56 0.56)
3-1 @ 6.57% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.51% (0.28 0.28)
3-2 @ 3.92% (-0.194 -0.19)
4-1 @ 3.31% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.77% (0.116 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.97% (-0.117 -0.12)
5-1 @ 1.33% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.12% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 56.36%
1-1 @ 9.73% (0.201 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.84% (-0.231 -0.23)
0-0 @ 4.06% (0.313 0.31)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.161 -0.16)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.44%
1-2 @ 5.8% (-0.173 -0.17)
0-1 @ 4.84% (0.144 0.14)
0-2 @ 2.88% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.216 -0.22)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.191 -0.19)
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 22.2%

How you voted: New Saints vs Swift Hesperange

The New Saints
85.0%
Draw
10.0%
Swift Hesperange
5.0%
20
rhs 2.0
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