MX23RW : Monday, December 23 17:22:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 10
Apr 22, 2023 at 12.45pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
3 - 2
Caernarfon

Arnison (39'), Cadwallader (55'), Flint (90+4')
Arnison (86'), Davies (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Hughes (2'), Bell (45+1')
Bell (17'), Thomas (41'), Faux (90+2')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Haverfordwest 1-1 Aberystwyth
Saturday, April 15 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Flint Town 2-3 Caernarfon
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberystwyth Town win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberystwyth Town would win this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawCaernarfon Town
41.65% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 24.4% (0.0019999999999989 0) 33.95% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.44% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)43.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)65.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.11% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)20.89% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.4% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)53.6% (0.012 0.01)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.13% (0.0019999999999953 0)24.87% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.53% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)59.47% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 41.66%
    Caernarfon Town 33.95%
    Draw 24.4%
Aberystwyth TownDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 8.14% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.37% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.63% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.32% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 41.66%
1-1 @ 11.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.17%
0-0 @ 5.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.4%
1-2 @ 7.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 7.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.03% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 3.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.86%
0-3 @ 2.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.27%
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 33.95%

Head to Head
Mar 17, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 5
Caernarfon
0-1
Aberystwyth

Gosset (30'), Simpson (77'), Hughes (78')
Bell (54')
Flint (41')
Flint (54'), Cadwallader (80')
Jan 21, 2023 5.15pm
gameweek 22
Aberystwyth
2-1
Caernarfon
Arnison (8'), Flint (77')
Arnison (32'), Evans (33')
Alun (89')
Hughes (32'), John Williams (34'), Faux (38')
Faux (76')
Oct 21, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 12
Caernarfon
2-1
Aberystwyth
O'Rourke (20'), Marsh-Hughes (73')
Litchfield (81')
Apr 1, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 5
Caernarfon
1-0
Aberystwyth
Morris (71' pen.)
Harrison (28')

Davies (31'), Veale (45'), Jenkins (71'), Orford (72'), Thorn (73')
Dec 17, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 17
Caernarfon
3-3
Aberystwyth
Evans (10'), John Williams (25'), Gosset (68')
Donohue (4'), John Williams (33'), Ojrzynski (58'), Cartwright (90')
Franklin (28'), Jones (59' pen., 62')
Davies (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!