Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 75.33%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Druids had a probability of 9.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.11%) and 0-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.35%), while for a Druids win it was 1-0 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.