Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 61.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 17.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for an Airbus UK Broughton win it was 1-2 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.