Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 45.27%. A win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.33%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Airbus UK Broughton win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Haverfordwest County in this match.