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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 19
Dec 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Haverfordwest
3 - 1
Aberystwyth

Davies (10'), Jenkins (24'), Fawcett (88')
Watts (43'), Fawcett (84')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bradford (37')
Horwood (8'), Evans (70'), Litchfield (81'), Darlington (90')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Haverfordwest County

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-0 Haverfordwest
Friday, December 16 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 3-0 Aberystwyth
Tuesday, December 20 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 56.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 20.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.

Result
Haverfordwest CountyDrawAberystwyth Town
56.79% (0.891 0.89) 22.36% (-0.357 -0.36) 20.85% (-0.527 -0.53)
Both teams to score 55.14% (0.41 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.17% (0.922 0.92)43.83% (-0.915 -0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.78% (0.894 0.89)66.22% (-0.887 -0.89)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.77% (0.619 0.62)15.23% (-0.614 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.12% (1.149 1.15)43.89% (-1.143 -1.14)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.04% (0.012 0.01)34.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.3% (0.0089999999999968 0.01)71.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Haverfordwest County 56.78%
    Aberystwyth Town 20.86%
    Draw 22.36%
Haverfordwest CountyDrawAberystwyth Town
1-0 @ 10.01% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.43% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.22% (0.149 0.15)
3-0 @ 5.92% (0.141 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.079 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.93% (0.13 0.13)
4-0 @ 2.78% (0.123 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.54% (0.068 0.07)
5-1 @ 1.1% (0.071 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.05% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 56.78%
1-1 @ 10.53% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 5.32% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.36%
0-1 @ 5.6% (-0.225 -0.23)
1-2 @ 5.53% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-2 @ 2.94% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 20.86%

Head to Head
Oct 14, 2022 8pm
Aberystwyth
2-1
Haverfordwest
Arnison (24'), Owen (50')
Evans (28')
Davies (58')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Haverfordwest
0-1
Aberystwyth

Rees (54'), (55'), Wilson (90+4')
Bradford (82')
Davies (55'), Corbisiero (61'), Davies (63')
Mar 15, 2022 8pm
Aberystwyth
0-6
Haverfordwest

Bradford (49'), Jones (74'), Veale (88'), Evans (90+3')
Jenkins (79')
Touray Sisay (16', 46', 62'), Davies (80' pen.), Shepherd (84'), Jones (89')
Feb 11, 2022 7.45pm
Haverfordwest
0-0
Aberystwyth

Rees (61'), Lewis (63'), Shepherd (65')

Rimmer (42'), Franklin (42'), Thorn (90'), Thorn (90')
Feb 1, 2022 8pm
Aberystwyth
2-0
Haverfordwest
Phillips (65'), Jones (74' pen.)
Thorn (19'), Rimmer (67'), Wynne (88')

Watts (62')
Jones (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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