MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 00:52:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 19
Dec 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Haverfordwest
3 - 1
Aberystwyth

Davies (10'), Jenkins (24'), Fawcett (88')
Watts (43'), Fawcett (84')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bradford (37')
Horwood (8'), Evans (70'), Litchfield (81'), Darlington (90')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Haverfordwest County

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-0 Haverfordwest
Friday, December 16 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 3-0 Aberystwyth
Tuesday, December 20 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 56.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 20.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.

Result
Haverfordwest CountyDrawAberystwyth Town
56.79% (0.891 0.89) 22.36% (-0.357 -0.36) 20.85% (-0.527 -0.53)
Both teams to score 55.14% (0.41 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.17% (0.922 0.92)43.83% (-0.915 -0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.78% (0.894 0.89)66.22% (-0.887 -0.89)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.77% (0.619 0.62)15.23% (-0.614 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.12% (1.149 1.15)43.89% (-1.143 -1.14)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.04% (0.012 0.01)34.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.3% (0.0089999999999968 0.01)71.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Haverfordwest County 56.78%
    Aberystwyth Town 20.86%
    Draw 22.36%
Haverfordwest CountyDrawAberystwyth Town
1-0 @ 10.01% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.43% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.22% (0.149 0.15)
3-0 @ 5.92% (0.141 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.079 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.93% (0.13 0.13)
4-0 @ 2.78% (0.123 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.54% (0.068 0.07)
5-1 @ 1.1% (0.071 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.05% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 56.78%
1-1 @ 10.53% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 5.32% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.36%
0-1 @ 5.6% (-0.225 -0.23)
1-2 @ 5.53% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-2 @ 2.94% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 20.86%

Head to Head
Oct 14, 2022 8pm
Aberystwyth
2-1
Haverfordwest
Arnison (24'), Owen (50')
Evans (28')
Davies (58')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Haverfordwest
0-1
Aberystwyth

Rees (54'), (55'), Wilson (90+4')
Bradford (82')
Davies (55'), Corbisiero (61'), Davies (63')
Mar 15, 2022 8pm
Aberystwyth
0-6
Haverfordwest

Bradford (49'), Jones (74'), Veale (88'), Evans (90+3')
Jenkins (79')
Touray Sisay (16', 46', 62'), Davies (80' pen.), Shepherd (84'), Jones (89')
Feb 11, 2022 7.45pm
Haverfordwest
0-0
Aberystwyth

Rees (61'), Lewis (63'), Shepherd (65')

Rimmer (42'), Franklin (42'), Thorn (90'), Thorn (90')
Feb 1, 2022 8pm
Aberystwyth
2-0
Haverfordwest
Phillips (65'), Jones (74' pen.)
Thorn (19'), Rimmer (67'), Wynne (88')

Watts (62')
Jones (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints27220576284866
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont27166548272154
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest27139535191648
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU27125104137441
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon27125104444041
6Bala TownBala Town2771193434032
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry2711794246-440
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay271051239291035
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2793153754-1730
4Briton Ferry2774164257-1525
5Newtown AFCNewtown2767143052-2225
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2752202263-4117
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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