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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Mar 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
0 - 1
Haverfordwest


Walsh (70'), Thorn (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Evans (52')
Evans (71')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Haverfordwest County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 2-1 Caernarfon
Saturday, January 21 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Haverfordwest County

All competitions
Last Game: Haverfordwest 2-1 Connah's Quay
Tuesday, January 31 at 8.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.66%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawHaverfordwest County
33.01%23.8%43.19%
Both teams to score 61.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.27%40.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.88%63.11%
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.79%24.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.46%58.54%
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.85%19.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.2%50.79%
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 33.01%
    Haverfordwest County 43.19%
    Draw 23.79%
Aberystwyth TownDrawHaverfordwest County
2-1 @ 7.71%
1-0 @ 6.57%
2-0 @ 4.66%
3-1 @ 3.65%
3-2 @ 3.01%
3-0 @ 2.21%
4-1 @ 1.29%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 33.01%
1-1 @ 10.86%
2-2 @ 6.37%
0-0 @ 4.63%
3-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.79%
1-2 @ 8.98%
0-1 @ 7.66%
0-2 @ 6.33%
1-3 @ 4.95%
2-3 @ 3.51%
0-3 @ 3.49%
1-4 @ 2.05%
2-4 @ 1.45%
0-4 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 43.19%

Head to Head
Dec 23, 2022 7.45pm
Haverfordwest
3-1
Aberystwyth
Davies (10'), Jenkins (24'), Fawcett (88')
Bradford (37')
Horwood (8')
Oct 14, 2022 8pm
Aberystwyth
2-1
Haverfordwest
Arnison (24'), Owen (50')
Evans (28')
Davies (58')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Haverfordwest
0-1
Aberystwyth

Rees (54'), (55'), Wilson (90+4')
Bradford (82')
Davies (55'), Corbisiero (61'), Davies (63')
Mar 15, 2022 8pm
Aberystwyth
0-6
Haverfordwest

Bradford (49'), Jones (74'), Veale (88'), Evans (90+3')
Jenkins (79')
Touray Sisay (16', 46', 62'), Davies (80' pen.), Shepherd (84'), Jones (89')
Feb 11, 2022 7.45pm
Haverfordwest
0-0
Aberystwyth

Rees (61'), Lewis (63'), Shepherd (65')

Rimmer (42'), Franklin (42'), Thorn (90'), Thorn (90')
rhs 2.0
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