MX23RW : Wednesday, March 12 07:34:15| >> :600:2746335:2746335:
Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
4 - 1
Valerenga

Fox (2'), Foord (29'), Caldentey (85'), Russo (90+3')
Foord (67'), Codina (84')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Tvedten (35')
Thorsnes (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Champions League clash between Arsenal Women and Valerenga Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 1-2 Chelsea
Saturday, October 12 at 1.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Valerenga 0-1 Juventus
Wednesday, October 9 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Chelsea103.33Reiten
2Brighton92.25Seike
3Spurs82.00Ahtinen
4Man City71.75Shaw
5Man Utd72.33Clinton
6Liverpool61.50Hobinger
7Arsenal41.00Maanum
8Aston Villa41.00Daly
9Crystal Palace20.50Blanchard
10West Ham20.50Denton
11Everton10.25
12Leicester10.25Rantala

We said: Arsenal Women 3-1 Valerenga Women

Arsenal may be short of confidence after failing to win any of their last three matches in all competitions, but they will still be favourites to get the better of Valerenga, and we think that they will live up to that tag by claiming a relatively comfortable victory on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for Valerenga Women had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Valerenga Women win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawValerenga Women
46.19% (0.201 0.2) 24.86% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 28.95% (-0.151 -0.15)
Both teams to score 55.5% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.6% (0.128 0.13)47.4% (-0.12799999999999 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.38% (0.117 0.12)69.62% (-0.119 -0.12)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.42% (0.14 0.14)20.58% (-0.141 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.89% (0.221 0.22)53.11% (-0.221 -0.22)
Valerenga Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.87% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)30.13% (0.043000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.73% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)66.27% (0.049000000000007 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 46.19%
    Valerenga Women 28.95%
    Draw 24.85%
Arsenal WomenDrawValerenga Women
1-0 @ 9.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.75% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.9% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.08% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.94% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.61% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 46.19%
1-1 @ 11.75% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.2% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.85%
0-1 @ 7.44% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 7.05% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.46% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 28.95%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Valerenga

Arsenal Women
80.9%
Draw
14.9%
Valerenga Women
4.3%
47
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
8Aston Villa2912984145-445
9Bournemouth28128847341344
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2896133248-1633
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


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