Arsenal4 - 1Valerenga
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, October 12 at 1.45pm in Women's Super League
Wednesday, October 9 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
We said: Arsenal Women 3-1 Valerenga Women
Arsenal may be short of confidence after failing to win any of their last three matches in all competitions, but they will still be favourites to get the better of Valerenga, and we think that they will live up to that tag by claiming a relatively comfortable victory on Wednesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for Valerenga Women had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Valerenga Women win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Valerenga Women |
46.19% ( 0.2) | 24.86% ( -0.05) | 28.95% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 55.5% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.6% ( 0.13) | 47.4% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.38% ( 0.12) | 69.62% ( -0.12) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.42% ( 0.14) | 20.58% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.89% ( 0.22) | 53.11% ( -0.22) |
| Valerenga Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.87% ( -0.04) | 30.13% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.73% ( -0.05) | 66.27% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Valerenga Women |
| 1-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 46.19% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.85% | 0-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.16% Total : 28.95% |
