MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 10:09:25| >> :120:82930:82930:
Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
4 - 1
Valerenga

Fox (2'), Foord (29'), Caldentey (85'), Russo (90+3')
Foord (67'), Codina (84')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Tvedten (35')
Thorsnes (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Champions League clash between Arsenal Women and Valerenga Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Women

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last Game: Arsenal 1-2 Chelsea
Saturday, October 12 at 1.45pm in Women's Super League

Valerenga Women

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last Game: Valerenga 0-1 Juventus
Wednesday, October 9 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Chelsea103.33Reiten
2Brighton92.25Seike
3Spurs82.00Ahtinen
4Man City71.75Shaw
5Man Utd72.33Clinton
6Liverpool61.50Hobinger
7Arsenal41.00Maanum
8Aston Villa41.00Daly
9Crystal Palace20.50Blanchard
10West Ham20.50Denton
11Everton10.25
12Leicester10.25Rantala

We said: Arsenal Women 3-1 Valerenga Women

 Arsenal may be short of confidence after failing to win any of their last three matches in all competitions, but they will still be favourites to get the better of Valerenga, and we think that they will live up to that tag by claiming a relatively comfortable victory on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for Valerenga Women had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Valerenga Women win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawValerenga Women
46.19% (0.201 0.2) 24.86% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 28.95% (-0.151 -0.15)
Both teams to score 55.5% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.6% (0.128 0.13)47.4% (-0.12799999999999 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.38% (0.117 0.12)69.62% (-0.119 -0.12)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.42% (0.14 0.14)20.58% (-0.141 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.89% (0.221 0.22)53.11% (-0.221 -0.22)
Valerenga Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.87% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)30.13% (0.043000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.73% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)66.27% (0.049000000000007 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 46.19%
    Valerenga Women 28.95%
    Draw 24.85%
Arsenal WomenDrawValerenga Women
1-0 @ 9.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.75% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.9% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.08% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.94% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.61% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 46.19%
1-1 @ 11.75% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.2% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.85%
0-1 @ 7.44% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 7.05% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.46% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 28.95%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Valerenga

Arsenal Women
80.9%
Draw
14.9%
Valerenga Women
4.3%
47
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


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