Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 93.96%. A draw had a probability of 4.6% and a win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 1.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (12.7%) and 0-5 (9.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.19%), while for a Bristol City Women win it was 1-0 (0.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.