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Women's Super League | Gameweek 20
May 7, 2023 at 6.45pm UK
Wheatsheaf Park

Chelsea Women
7 - 0
Everton Ladies

Reiten (12'), Kerr (25'), Mosegaard-Harder (33', 81'), Ingle (44'), Fleming (45+2'), Cuthbert (90+2')
FT(HT: 5-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Chelsea Women and Everton Ladies, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading Women 2-3 Everton Ladies
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Women's Super League

We said: Chelsea Women 2-0 Everton Ladies

After beating Liverpool on Thursday, Chelsea will attempt to pick up three more points against another Merseyside club this weekend, and with the reigning champions yet to drop points at home in the WSL this season, we think that they make full use of home advantage to claim a crucial victory on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 67.9%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Everton Ladies had a probability of 13.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 1-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a Everton Ladies win it was 1-2 (4%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawEverton Ladies
67.9% (-0.321 -0.32) 18.12% (0.065000000000001 0.07) 13.98% (0.252 0.25)
Both teams to score 55.48% (0.493 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.56% (0.289 0.29)36.43% (-0.292 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.42% (0.316 0.32)58.57% (-0.319 -0.32)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.17% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)9.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)32.62% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Everton Ladies Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.53% (0.545 0.55)38.46% (-0.549 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.78% (0.519 0.52)75.21% (-0.52200000000001 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 67.89%
    Everton Ladies 13.98%
    Draw 18.12%
Chelsea WomenDrawEverton Ladies
2-0 @ 10.17% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.77% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-0 @ 7.87% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-1 @ 7.52% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.56% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 4.36% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.056 0.06)
5-0 @ 2.12% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.08% (0.033 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.02% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-2 @ 0.97% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 67.89%
1-1 @ 8.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.64% (0.072 0.07)
0-0 @ 3.78% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 18.12%
1-2 @ 4% (0.062 0.06)
0-1 @ 3.61% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-2 @ 1.73% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.48% (0.045 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.28% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 13.98%

Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 1pm
gameweek 4
Everton Ladies
1-3
Chelsea Women
Buchanan (53' og.)
Mosegaard-Harder (37', 59'), Charles (90+5')
Mar 16, 2022 7pm
Sep 12, 2021 12.30pm
gameweek 2
Chelsea Women
4-0
Everton Ladies
Kirby (25'), Kerr (47', 74'), England (79')
Ingle (75')
Mar 17, 2021 7pm
gameweek 11
Everton Ladies
0-3
Chelsea Women

Raso (49')
Kirby (14'), Mosegaard-Harder (60'), Leupolz (79')
Leupolz (72')
Nov 8, 2020 12pm
gameweek 5
Chelsea Women
4-0
Everton Ladies
So-yun (16'), England (73', 76'), Mosegaard-Harder (90+7')
Bright (65')

Emslie (64')
rhs 2.0
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