Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton Ladies win with a probability of 54.41%. A win for Reading Women had a probability of 23.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton Ladies win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Reading Women win was 2-1 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Everton Ladies would win this match.