Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 90.47%. A draw had a probability of 7.1% and a win for Reading Women had a probability of 2.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.6%) and 4-0 (11.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.38%), while for a Reading Women win it was 0-1 (1.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.