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China national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Nov 19, 2024 at 12am UK
Guangxi Sports Center
Japan national football team

China
vs.
Japan

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between China and Japan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Bahrain 0-1 China
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
Last Game: Indonesia 0-4 Japan
Friday, November 15 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Japan win with a probability of 72.49%. A draw has a probability of 16.5% and a win for China has a probability of 11.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win is 0-2 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.7%), while for a China win it is 2-1 (3.26%).

Result
ChinaDrawJapan
11.05% (-2.794 -2.79) 16.46% (-2.95 -2.95) 72.49% (5.744 5.74)
Both teams to score 52.19% (1.767 1.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.9% (6.743 6.74)36.1% (-6.743 -6.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.79% (7.039 7.04)58.21% (-7.038 -7.04)
China Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.15% (-0.1 -0.1)42.85% (0.1 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.84% (-0.083000000000002 -0.08)79.16% (0.083000000000013 0.08)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.32% (3.246 3.25)8.68% (-3.246 -3.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.12% (7.392 7.39)29.88% (-7.391 -7.39)
Score Analysis
    China 11.05%
    Japan 72.49%
    Draw 16.46%
ChinaDrawJapan
2-1 @ 3.26% (-0.65 -0.65)
1-0 @ 3.15% (-1.181 -1.18)
2-0 @ 1.34% (-0.505 -0.51)
3-2 @ 1.13% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-1 @ 0.92% (-0.187 -0.19)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 11.05%
1-1 @ 7.7% (-1.509 -1.51)
2-2 @ 3.99% (-0.173 -0.17)
0-0 @ 3.72% (-1.379 -1.38)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 16.46%
0-2 @ 11.1% (-0.42 -0.42)
1-2 @ 9.41% (-0.381 -0.38)
0-1 @ 9.09% (-1.743 -1.74)
0-3 @ 9.05% (0.88 0.88)
1-3 @ 7.67% (0.727 0.73)
0-4 @ 5.53% (1.187 1.19)
1-4 @ 4.69% (0.996 1)
2-3 @ 3.25% (0.3 0.3)
0-5 @ 2.71% (0.857 0.86)
1-5 @ 2.29% (0.721 0.72)
2-4 @ 1.99% (0.418 0.42)
0-6 @ 1.1% (0.447 0.45)
2-5 @ 0.97% (0.304 0.3)
1-6 @ 0.93% (0.377 0.38)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 72.49%

Who will win Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between China and Japan?

China
Draw
Japan
China
66.7%
Draw
0.0%
Japan
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2024 11.35am
Third Round
Japan
7-0
China
Endo (12'), Mitoma (45+2'), Minamino (52', 58'), Ito (77'), Maeda (87'), Kubo (90+5')

Yang (18'), Zhang (39'), Carvalho (70')
Jan 27, 2022 10.01am
Third Round
Japan
2-0
China
Osako (13' pen.), Ito (61')

Lei (35')
Sep 7, 2021 4pm
Third Round
China
0-1
Japan

Xi (67'), Aloisio (69'), Wang (81')
Osako (40')
Ito (57')
rhs 2.0
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
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4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
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8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
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11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
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