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World Cup header WWW

World Cup
Bahrain national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Oct 10, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stad al-Bahrayn al-Watanī
Indonesia national football team

Bahrain
vs.
Indonesia

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Bahrain and Indonesia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahrain

All competitions
Last Game: Bahrain 0-5 Japan
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Saudi Arabia vs. Bahrain
Tuesday, October 15 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Indonesia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Indonesia 0-0 Australia
Tuesday, September 10 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: China vs. Indonesia
Tuesday, October 15 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Bahrain 2-1 Indonesia

 Although Bahrain lost heavily last time out, we cannot ignore that they managed to defeat Australia in their first game on away territory. With that in mind, we are backing a narrow home victory in Riffa, which would keep them in the top three as a bare minimum. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahrain win with a probability of 47.97%. A win for Indonesia had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahrain win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Indonesia win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
BahrainDrawIndonesia
47.97% (2.229 2.23) 24.59% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 27.44% (-2.236 -2.24)
Both teams to score 55.3% (-1.592 -1.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.84% (-1.381 -1.38)47.16% (1.381 1.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.6% (-1.298 -1.3)69.4% (1.297 1.3)
Bahrain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.27% (0.384 0.38)19.73% (-0.384 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.25% (0.622 0.62)51.75% (-0.621 -0.62)
Indonesia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.89% (-2.324 -2.32)31.11% (2.323 2.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.56% (-2.801 -2.8)67.44% (2.801 2.8)
Score Analysis
    Bahrain 47.97%
    Indonesia 27.44%
    Draw 24.59%
BahrainDrawIndonesia
1-0 @ 9.96% (0.676 0.68)
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.167 0.17)
2-0 @ 8.09% (0.639 0.64)
3-1 @ 5.11% (0.15 0.15)
3-0 @ 4.38% (0.393 0.39)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.085 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.78% (0.179 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 47.97%
1-1 @ 11.63% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.14% (0.347 0.35)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.262 -0.26)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.59%
0-1 @ 7.17% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.79% (-0.409 -0.41)
0-2 @ 4.18% (-0.305 -0.31)
1-3 @ 2.64% (-0.345 -0.35)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.251 -0.25)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.235 -0.24)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 27.44%

How you voted: Bahrain vs Indonesia

Bahrain
30.2%
Draw
9.4%
Indonesia
60.4%
106
rhs 2.0
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