We said: Saudi Arabia 1-0 Bolivia
The Bolivians have been a little sharper on the defensive end since Costas took over, but they have not shown to be creative on the ball, so we anticipate the overall quality of the Green Falcons will get the better of them on Tuesday, while possibly sending their manager off on a winning note.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 61.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 16.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.