World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Mar 31, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Vilniaus LFF stadionas

Lithuania
0 - 2
Italy

Simkus (27'), Vaitkunas (77'), Kazlauskas (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sensi (48'), Immobile (90+4' pen.)
Pellegrini (14'), Pessina (32'), Locatelli (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Lithuania and Italy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying clash with Lithuania.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 79.91%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 6.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12%) and 0-1 (11.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.48%), while for a Lithuania win it was 1-0 (2.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Italy in this match.

Result
Lithuania	Draw	Italy
6.42%	13.67%	79.91%

Both teams to score 41.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.84%

39.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.5%

61.5%

Lithuania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.47%

55.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.8%

88.2%

Italy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.24%

7.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.41%

27.59%

Score Analysis

Lithuania 6.42%

Italy 79.9%

Draw 13.67%

Lithuania	Draw	Italy
1-0 @ 2.53% 2-1 @ 1.91% Other @ 1.98% Total : 6.42%	1-1 @ 6.48% 0-0 @ 4.31% 2-2 @ 2.44% Other @ 0.45% Total : 13.67%	0-2 @ 14.08% 0-3 @ 12% 0-1 @ 11.01% 1-2 @ 8.28% 0-4 @ 7.67% 1-3 @ 7.06% 1-4 @ 4.51% 0-5 @ 3.92% 1-5 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 2.08% 0-6 @ 1.67% 2-4 @ 1.33% 1-6 @ 0.98% Other @ 3% Total : 79.9%