World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2025 at 7pm UK
Stade Felix Houphouet-Boigny
Ivory Coast1 - 0Gambia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Burundi 0-1 Ivory Coast
Friday, March 21 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Friday, March 21 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
We said: Ivory Coast 2-1 Gambia
Breaching opposing defences has not been a worry for Gambia, who have made the net ripple 12 times in the qualifiers, but they will need to tighten up at the back if they are to make a late push for the playoff ticket. However, Ivory Coast boast a superior and more experienced squad, and we predict that they will make the most of their home advantage to secure maximum points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 70.97%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Gambia had a probability of 10.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.11%) and 3-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a Gambia win it was 0-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ivory Coast | Draw | Gambia |
70.97% ( -0.31) | 18.92% ( 0.18) | 10.12% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 40.44% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
