MX23RW : Tuesday, November 26 18:45:44| >> :600:693175:693175:
Tunisia national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 18, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade Olympique de Rades
Gambia national football team

Tunisia
0 - 1
Gambia


Meriah (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ceesay (17')
Ceesay (62'), Bari (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Tunisia and Gambia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Madagascar 2-3 Tunisia
Thursday, November 14 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Gambia 1-2 Comoros
Friday, November 15 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Tunisia 2-1 Gambia

While this clash is inconsequential to who gets the AFCON ticket in Group A, we believe that Tunisia will want to finish the qualifiers strongly, and this, alongside Gambia's poor run on the road, is why we are predicting a win for the home side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 48.23%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Gambia had a probability of 23.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Gambia win it was 0-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
TunisiaDrawGambia
48.23% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03) 28.59% (0.232 0.23) 23.18% (-0.199 -0.2)
Both teams to score 40.5% (-0.724 -0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.49% (-0.818 -0.82)64.51% (0.818 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.46% (-0.582 -0.58)83.54% (0.58 0.58)
Tunisia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.91% (-0.404 -0.4)27.08% (0.402 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.54% (-0.531 -0.53)62.46% (0.53 0.53)
Gambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.54% (-0.681 -0.68)44.46% (0.68 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.5% (-0.558 -0.56)80.5% (0.55800000000001 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Tunisia 48.22%
    Gambia 23.18%
    Draw 28.59%
TunisiaDrawGambia
1-0 @ 15.72% (0.29 0.29)
2-0 @ 10.27% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.47% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.63% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.47% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 48.22%
1-1 @ 12.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 12.04% (0.36 0.36)
2-2 @ 3.38% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 28.59%
0-1 @ 9.76% (0.112 0.11)
1-2 @ 5.17% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.96% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 0.91% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 23.18%

How you voted: Tunisia vs Gambia

Tunisia
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Gambia
0.0%
20
Head to Head
Sep 8, 2024 5pm
Group Stage
Gambia
1-2
Tunisia
Sowe (14')
Adams (90+6')
Abdi (11'), Ali Ben Romdhane (76')
Sassi (59'), Jouini (90+7')
Jan 20, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Gambia
1-0
Tunisia
Jallow (90+3')
Adams (48'), Gomez (89')

Mathlouthi (45+2'), Mejbri (90+2'), Drager (90+2')
Ben Mustapha (45+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Ravens
30-23
Chargers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool1210112481631
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Fulham125341717018
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle125341313018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd124441313016
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham124351519-415
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Ipswich TownIpswich121651323-109
19Crystal Palace121561017-78
20Southampton121110924-154


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!