MX23RW : Tuesday, November 26 20:34:32| >> :600:699703:699703:
Gambia national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 15, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade Municipal de Berkane
Comoros national football team

Gambia
1 - 2
Comoros

Jatta (18')
Manneh (61'), Touray (62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Said (25'), Maolida (90')
M'Changama (40'), Youssouf (90'), Youssouf (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Gambia and Comoros, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Gambia 1-0 Madagascar
Monday, October 14 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Comoros 1-1 Tunisia
Tuesday, October 15 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Morocco337
2Gabon315
3Comoros3-23
4Ghana3-21

We said: Gambia 1-1 Comoros

There was little to separate Gambia and Comoros in the first leg despite the number of chances created, and we believe that a similar outcome is likely at the final whistle on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Comoros win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Gambia had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Comoros win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.68%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Gambia win was 1-0 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Comoros would win this match.

Result
GambiaDrawComoros
34.17% (-0.561 -0.56) 28.77% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 37.06% (0.604 0.6)
Both teams to score 45.46% (0.073 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.92% (0.111 0.11)61.08% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.94% (0.082000000000001 0.08)81.05% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)
Gambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.48% (-0.32000000000001 -0.32)33.51% (0.32 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.85% (-0.352 -0.35)70.15% (0.35299999999999 0.35)
Comoros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.38% (0.43900000000001 0.44)31.62% (-0.439 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.97% (0.502 0.5)68.03% (-0.502 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Gambia 34.16%
    Comoros 37.06%
    Draw 28.75%
GambiaDrawComoros
1-0 @ 11.58% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 7.29% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.33% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-1 @ 2.66% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.31% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.53% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 34.16%
1-1 @ 13.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 10.59% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.75%
0-1 @ 12.2% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 7.68% (0.086 0.09)
0-2 @ 7.02% (0.139 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.95% (0.068 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.7% (0.085 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 37.06%

How you voted: Gambia vs Comoros

Gambia
61.5%
Draw
34.6%
Comoros
3.8%
26
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2024 5pm
Group Stage
Comoros
1-1
Gambia
Barrow (45+1')
Minteh (63'), Ceesay (64'), Darboe (89')
Sep 7, 2021 3pm
rhs 2.0
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