World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 8, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stade Municipal de Berkane

Gambia
5 - 1
Seychelles

Badamosi (10', 66'), Barrow (52' pen.), Minteh (55'), Sidibeh (78')
Gaye (24'), Bobb (28'), Ceesay (68'), Manneh (84')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Henriette (14')
Marie (48'), Mellie (84'), Joubert (87')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Gambia and Seychelles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gambia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Gambia 2-3 Cameroon
Tuesday, January 23 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	7	9
2	Cameroon	3	-1	4
3	Guinea	3	-1	4
4	Gambia	3	-5	0

Seychelles

Last Game: Seychelles 0-5 Kenya
Monday, November 20 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Gambia 2-0 Seychelles

Despite their struggles, Gambia should have enough quality to defeat an opponent that have won just once since 2016. Seychelles are on a 14-match losing run in World Cup qualifying, failing to score in nine of such games, and they are unlikely to prevent a 15th loss this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia win with a probability of 72.26%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Seychelles had a probability of 9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.3%) and 3-0 (10.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Seychelles win it was 0-1 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gambia would win this match.

Result
Gambia	Draw	Seychelles
72.26% ( -0.18)	18.73% ( 0.04)	9% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 36.99% (

0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.8% (

0.19)

52.2% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.09% (

0.16)

73.9% (

-0.16)

Gambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.88% (

13.12% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.24% (

0.01)

39.76% (

-0.01)

Seychelles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.57% (

0.41)

57.42% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.72% (

0.23)

89.27% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Gambia 72.25%

Seychelles 9%

Draw 18.73%

Gambia	Draw	Seychelles
2-0 @ 15.53% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 15.3% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 10.52% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.15% Total : 72.25%	1-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.32% Total : 18.73%	0-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.31% Total : 9%