World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Nov 16, 2021 at 10pm UK
Independence Park
Jamaica1 - 1USA
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Jamaica had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Jamaica win was 1-0 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jamaica | Draw | USA |
| 36.48% | 25.71% | 37.8% |
| Both teams to score 55.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.08% | 48.92% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.99% | 71.01% |
| Jamaica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.94% | 26.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.89% | 61.1% |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.67% | 25.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.89% | 60.1% |
| Score Analysis |
Jamaica 36.48%
USA 37.8%
Draw 25.71%
| Jamaica | Draw | USA |
| 1-0 @ 8.87% 2-1 @ 8.2% 2-0 @ 5.97% 3-1 @ 3.67% 3-0 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.34% Total : 36.48% | 1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 6.6% 2-2 @ 5.63% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 9.06% 1-2 @ 8.37% 0-2 @ 6.22% 1-3 @ 3.83% 0-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.58% 1-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.59% Total : 37.8% |
How you voted: Jamaica vs USA
Jamaica
12.3%Draw
9.4%USA
78.3%106
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2021 12.30am
Jul 26, 2021 2.30am
Jun 6, 2019 12am
