World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Nov 16, 2021 at 10pm UK
Independence Park
Jamaica1 - 1USA
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Jamaica had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Jamaica win was 1-0 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jamaica | Draw | USA |
| 36.48% | 25.71% | 37.8% |
| Both teams to score 55.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
