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South Korea national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Mar 21, 2024 at 11am UK
Seoul World Cup Stadium
Thailand national football team

South Korea
1 - 1
Thailand

Heung-min (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mueanta (61')
Thongsong (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between South Korea and Thailand, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Jordan 2-0 South Korea
Tuesday, February 6 at 3pm in Asian Cup
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Uzbekistan 2-1 Thailand
Tuesday, January 30 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

We said: South Korea 3-0 Thailand

Even with several notable omissions from their squad, South Korea still boast plenty of quality and should have more than enough to see Thailand off on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 75.69%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Thailand had a probability of 9.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.88%), while for a Thailand win it was 1-2 (2.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
South KoreaDrawThailand
75.69% (0.607 0.61) 14.83% (-0.18 -0.18) 9.48% (-0.4279 -0.43)
Both teams to score 52.37% (-1.137 -1.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.12% (-0.53399999999999 -0.53)32.88% (0.534 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.42% (-0.61799999999999 -0.62)54.58% (0.61799999999999 0.62)
South Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.77%7.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.77% (0.0010000000000048 0)26.24% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Thailand Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.45% (-1.226 -1.23)43.55% (1.227 1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.25% (-1.035 -1.04)79.75% (1.035 1.04)
Score Analysis
    South Korea 75.68%
    Thailand 9.48%
    Draw 14.83%
South KoreaDrawThailand
2-0 @ 10.86% (0.3 0.3)
3-0 @ 9.51% (0.267 0.27)
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 8.28% (0.233 0.23)
3-1 @ 7.91% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-0 @ 6.25% (0.176 0.18)
4-1 @ 5.19% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.13 -0.13)
5-0 @ 3.28% (0.092 0.09)
5-1 @ 2.73% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.16% (-0.086 -0.09)
6-0 @ 1.44% (0.041 0.04)
6-1 @ 1.19% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.13% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 75.68%
1-1 @ 6.88% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.76% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-0 @ 3.15% (0.089 0.09)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 14.83%
1-2 @ 2.86% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-1 @ 2.62% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.09% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 9.48%

How you voted: South Korea vs Thailand

South Korea
71.0%
Draw
12.9%
Thailand
16.1%
31
rhs 2.0
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