Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 6, 2023 at 8pm UK
First Statement Stadium
Libya1 - 1Eq Guinea
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Botswana 1-0 Libya
Saturday, June 17 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Saturday, June 17 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 7 |
2 | Libya | 3 | 3 | 6 |
3 | Rwanda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Last Game: Eq Guinea 1-0 Tunisia
Saturday, June 17 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Saturday, June 17 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
We said: Libya 0-2 Equatorial Guinea
With top-spot potentially on the line, we expect Equatorial Guinea to come out guns blazing at the Martyrs of February Stadium on Wednesday. They take on a struggling Libyan side, who have also lost each of their last three encounters, and we fancy them picking up all three points once again. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Libya win with a probability of 49.22%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 24.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Libya win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Libya | Draw | Equatorial Guinea |
49.22% ( -2.55) | 26.06% ( 0.61) | 24.71% ( 1.94) |
Both teams to score 48.42% ( 0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.95% ( -0.66) | 55.04% ( 0.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.69% ( -0.55) | 76.31% ( 0.55) |
Libya Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.6% ( -1.37) | 22.4% ( 1.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.08% ( -2.1) | 55.91% ( 2.09) |
Equatorial Guinea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.39% ( 1.44) | 37.6% ( -1.44) |