World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Mar 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Asgabat Stadiony
Turkmenistan0 - 1Iran
Durdyyew (37'), Orazov (38'), Gurbanov (40'), Abdurakhmanov (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ghaedi (45+5')
Kanani (39'), Rezaeian (90+1')
Kanani (39'), Rezaeian (90+1')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Iran 5-0 Turkmenistan
Thursday, March 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Thursday, March 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
We said: Turkmenistan 0-3 Iran
Iran may not have home advantage for Tuesday's return fixture, but we still expect them to produce another strong display and sweep past Turkmenistan with minimum fuss. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 84.77%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for Turkmenistan had a probability of 4.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.78%) and 0-4 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.07%), while for a Turkmenistan win it was 1-0 (1.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Turkmenistan | Draw | Iran |
4.57% ( 0.05) | 10.67% ( -0.04) | 84.77% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 40.53% ( 0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
