World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Mar 21, 2024 at 4pm UK
Azadi Stadium
Iran5 - 0Turkmenistan
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Iran 2-3 Qatar
Wednesday, February 7 at 3pm in Asian Cup
Wednesday, February 7 at 3pm in Asian Cup
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iran | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | United Arab Emirates | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Palestine | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Hong Kong | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Kazakhstan 2-0 Turkmenistan
Thursday, March 14 at 3pm in International Friendlies
Thursday, March 14 at 3pm in International Friendlies
We said: Iran 4-0 Turkmenistan
Iran are the overwhelming favorites in this fixture and should win with a comfortable margin. Turkmenistan have recorded seven losses in their ten-match winless streak heading into this game and the clear underdogs here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 72.32%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Turkmenistan had a probability of 10.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.87%) and 3-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for a Turkmenistan win it was 0-1 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Iran | Draw | Turkmenistan |
72.32% ( 0.51) | 17.51% ( -0.04) | 10.16% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 44.97% ( -1.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
