Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 55.32%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 24.09% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.79%) and 1-3 (6.73%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.