MX23RW : Tuesday, February 11 20:29:50| >> :60:266:266:
AFC Champions League | Round of 16
Aug 19, 2022 at 9am UK
Leo Stadium

Pathum Utd
4 - 0
Kitchee

Kanitsribampen (34'), Fandi (39'), Dangda (68'), Thongkiri (87')
Channgom (45+1'), Fandi (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Cleiton (9')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Round of 16 clash between BG Pathum United and Kitchee.

Form, Standings, Stats

BG Pathum United

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Last Game: Pathum Utd 0-0 Jeonnam Dragons
Saturday, April 30 at 12pm in AFC Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Kitchee

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Kitchee 2-2 Vissel Kobe
Sunday, May 1 at 12pm in AFC Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BG Pathum United win with a probability of 49.13%. A win for Kitchee had a probability of 25.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a BG Pathum United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Kitchee win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BG Pathum United would win this match.

Result
BG Pathum UnitedDrawKitchee
49.13% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 25.3% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 25.57% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.52% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)51.48% (0.017999999999994 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.72% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)73.28% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
BG Pathum United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.03% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)20.97% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.27% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)53.73% (0.032999999999994 0.03)
Kitchee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.1% (0.010999999999996 0.01)34.9% (-0.0089999999999932 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.36% (0.013000000000002 0.01)71.64% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    BG Pathum United 49.12%
    Kitchee 25.57%
    Draw 25.3%
BG Pathum UnitedDrawKitchee
1-0 @ 11.43%
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.93% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 4.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.82% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 49.12%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 7.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.95%
3-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 7.7% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 25.57%

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