MX23RW : Monday, March 10 19:19:07| >> :120:79472:79472:
Exeter City
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Feb 11, 2025 at 8pm UK
St James Park
Nottingham Forest logo

Exeter
2 - 2
Nott'm Forest

Magennis (5', 50')
McMillan (38'), Yogane (115')
Turns (87')
FT
(aet)
Sosa (15'), Awoniyi (37')
Williams (105+1'), Williams (115')
Nott'm Forest win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Exeter City and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 4-1 Exeter
Saturday, February 1 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 7-0 Brighton
Saturday, February 1 at 12.30pm in Premier League

We say: Exeter City 0-2 Nottingham Forest

Even without the likes of Wood and Hudson-Odoi, it is difficult to see Exeter posing much of a challenge to Nottingham Forest's exceptional defence. Additionally, the hosts have been frail at the back in recent weeks, and they are unlikely to get back into the game should they concede first. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawNottingham Forest
32.18% (1.86 1.86) 24.72% (0.651 0.65) 43.1% (-2.508 -2.51)
Both teams to score 57.7% (-1.348 -1.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.71% (-2.166 -2.17)45.29% (2.169 2.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.37% (-2.107 -2.11)67.63% (2.11 2.11)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.1% (0.124 0.12)26.9% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.78% (0.164 0.16)62.22% (-0.161 -0.16)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.93% (-1.981 -1.98)21.07% (1.983 1.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.11% (-3.182 -3.18)53.89% (3.184 3.18)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 32.18%
    Nottingham Forest 43.1%
    Draw 24.72%
Exeter CityDrawNottingham Forest
2-1 @ 7.61% (0.296 0.3)
1-0 @ 7.44% (0.693 0.69)
2-0 @ 4.89% (0.471 0.47)
3-1 @ 3.33% (0.141 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.14% (0.213 0.21)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 32.18%
1-1 @ 11.59% (0.42 0.42)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.67% (0.51 0.51)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.72%
1-2 @ 9.02% (-0.231 -0.23)
0-1 @ 8.83% (0.284 0.28)
0-2 @ 6.87% (-0.201 -0.2)
1-3 @ 4.68% (-0.425 -0.43)
0-3 @ 3.57% (-0.337 -0.34)
2-3 @ 3.08% (-0.268 -0.27)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.292 -0.29)
0-4 @ 1.39% (-0.227 -0.23)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.187 -0.19)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 43.1%

How you voted: Exeter vs Nott'm Forest

Exeter City
17.1%
Draw
6.6%
Nottingham Forest
76.3%
76
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
7Aston Villa2912984145-445
8Bournemouth28128847341344
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2713594638844
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2796123247-1533
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


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