Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Energetik-BGU had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Energetik-BGU win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitebsk in this match.