America Mineiro

2 - 1

Fortaleza

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that America Mineiro would win this match.